Technology is advancing at an exponential rate often called the "Law of Accelerating Returns." If futurist predictions prove correct, we'll have advanced molecular manufacturing by around 2025, and possibly the replacement of humanity by vastly advanced machines a decade or two later.
This is a chronicle of our journey to that future, one advancing technology article at a time. I post the more significant and interesting articles as I come across them.
Friday, February 27, 2009
Computing Update
Self-programming hybrid "memristor" circuit--having the electrical properties of more than a dozen transistors and possibly capable of learning how to perform a task rather than have to be programmed to do it--could continue Moore's Law:
http://www.physorg.com/news154865950.html
http://www.physorg.com/news154865950.html
Wednesday, February 25, 2009
Alternative Energies Update
The "traveling wave reactor" could make nuclear power cheaper and safer, by processing its fissile material only as it needs it:
http://www.technologyreview.com/read_article.aspx?ch=specialsections&sc=tr10&id=22114
http://www.technologyreview.com/read_article.aspx?ch=specialsections&sc=tr10&id=22114
Alternative Energies Update
New "liquid" battery promises to be durable, cheap, long-lasting and store vast amounts of energy (such as may be generated by solar collectors during the day):
http://www.technologyreview.com/read_article.aspx?ch=specialsections&sc=tr10&id=22116
http://www.technologyreview.com/read_article.aspx?ch=specialsections&sc=tr10&id=22116
Computing Update
New 3D "racetrack memory" could soon replace both flash memory and hard drives--faster, denser, more reliable, no moving parts:
http://www.technologyreview.com/computing/22115/
http://www.technologyreview.com/computing/22115/
Tuesday, February 24, 2009
Alternative Energies Update
New solar concentrator combines low cost with high efficiency:
http://www.technologyreview.com/computing/22204/?a=f
http://www.technologyreview.com/computing/22204/?a=f
Alternative Energies Update
Solar power beamed down from collectors in space could provide huge amounts of continuous power. A company claims it can have a space-based solar power station in place within the decade:
http://www.universetoday.com/2009/02/18/new-company-looks-to-produce-space-based-solar-power-within-a-decade/
http://www.universetoday.com/2009/02/18/new-company-looks-to-produce-space-based-solar-power-within-a-decade/
Alternative Energies Update
Sun-powered device converts carbon dioxide and water vapour into natural gas 20x faster than before (although still not enough to be commercially viable):
http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn16621-sunpowered-device-converts-co2-into-fuel.html
http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn16621-sunpowered-device-converts-co2-into-fuel.html
Computing Update
Using functional magnetic resonance imaging to read a person's mind (well, sort of...):
http://www.technologyreview.com/computing/22201/?a=f
http://www.technologyreview.com/computing/22201/?a=f
Nanotechnology Update
The success of mature nanotechnology hinges on mass-producing structures at the nano scale. Researchers have discovered how to use magnets to direct the consistent assembly of nano-structures:
http://www.physorg.com/news154190856.html
http://www.physorg.com/news154190856.html
Alternative Energies Update
Don't forget the effectiveness of non-photovoltaic solar water heaters. They're cheap, effective, proven technology.
An Irish company claims to have drastically improved on the efficiency of these devices:
http://www.ecogeek.org/content/view/2544/83/
An Irish company claims to have drastically improved on the efficiency of these devices:
http://www.ecogeek.org/content/view/2544/83/
Alternative Energies Update
Harnassing bacteria to produce biofuels and clean up the environment:
http://www.physorg.com/news154107803.html
http://www.physorg.com/news154107803.html
Monday, February 16, 2009
Cybernetics Update
A "thought-controlled" wheelchair gives mobility and manipulation to the disabled:
http://singularityhub.com/2009/02/11/researchers-develop-brain-controlled-wheelchair-robotic-arm/
http://singularityhub.com/2009/02/11/researchers-develop-brain-controlled-wheelchair-robotic-arm/
Cybernetics Update
New artificial arm is controlled by the wearer's thoughts:
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/02/11/health/research/11arm.html?_r=2&ref=science
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/02/11/health/research/11arm.html?_r=2&ref=science
Saturday, February 14, 2009
Robotics Update
Engineers give robots human brain-inspired software to help them navigate around obstacles in a manner similar to humans:
http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn16557-video-robot-uses-human-mind-tricks-to-navigate.html?DCMP=OTC-rss&nsref=online-news
Watch the video.
http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn16557-video-robot-uses-human-mind-tricks-to-navigate.html?DCMP=OTC-rss&nsref=online-news
Watch the video.
Friday, February 13, 2009
Computing Update
"Students at the MIT Media Lab have developed a wearable computing system that
turns any surface into an interactive display screen. The wearer can summon
virtual gadgets and internet data at will, then dispel them like smoke when
they're done."
turns any surface into an interactive display screen. The wearer can summon
virtual gadgets and internet data at will, then dispel them like smoke when
they're done."
http://blog.wired.com/business/2009/02/ted-digital-six.html
This is like giving everyday objects the same Web-accessibility computer applications have--fascinating!
Computing Update
A new "probabilistic computing" chip can make calculations seven times faster than conventional chips with 1/30th the electricity...by embracing imprecision:
http://www.chron.com/disp/story.mpl/metropolitan/6252697.html
http://www.chron.com/disp/story.mpl/metropolitan/6252697.html
Robotics Update
These new robots are capable of fine motor skills, voice recognition, and the ability to do several common household tasks:
http://www.physorg.com/news153079697.html
Be sure to play the videos.
This is state of the art 2009. Want to guess what we'll have in ten years?
http://www.physorg.com/news153079697.html
Be sure to play the videos.
This is state of the art 2009. Want to guess what we'll have in ten years?
Saturday, February 7, 2009
Robotics Update
Engineers use biological adaptive learning techniques to give robots the ability to learn efficient motion:
http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20126946.600-unnatural-selection-robots-start-to-evolve.html?DCMP=OTC-rss&nsref=online-news
http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20126946.600-unnatural-selection-robots-start-to-evolve.html?DCMP=OTC-rss&nsref=online-news
Robotics Update
Here's another prediction that we'll have sex and marriage with robots in the near future:
http://www.livescience.com/technology/071012-robot-marriage.html
I think the disruptions will be more drastic than implied in the article, though--why have both a human and a robot sex partner, when a robot partner could much more easily fulfill all your fantasies, be ready and willing at all times, have an appearance to your exacting specifications, share your interests more closely, and come with none of the baggage of a human sex partner? I also think the same drastic change will come to friendships.
http://www.livescience.com/technology/071012-robot-marriage.html
I think the disruptions will be more drastic than implied in the article, though--why have both a human and a robot sex partner, when a robot partner could much more easily fulfill all your fantasies, be ready and willing at all times, have an appearance to your exacting specifications, share your interests more closely, and come with none of the baggage of a human sex partner? I also think the same drastic change will come to friendships.
Wednesday, February 4, 2009
Materials Update
Functional invisibility comes one step closer:
http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn16527-video-revealing-the-technology-of-invisibility.html?DCMP=OTC-rss&nsref=online-news
http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn16527-video-revealing-the-technology-of-invisibility.html?DCMP=OTC-rss&nsref=online-news
Artificial Intelligence Update
Speech prediction technology comes of age, capable of filling in what you can't remember:
http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn16528-innovation-speech-prediction-software.html?DCMP=OTC-rss&nsref=online-news
http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn16528-innovation-speech-prediction-software.html?DCMP=OTC-rss&nsref=online-news
Computing Update
Scientists teleport the state of an atom across a lab:
http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20126936.500-teleporter-sends-ions-on-longdistance-journey.html?DCMP=OTC-rss&nsref=online-news
"The promise of this new process is that it could form the basis of a "quantum repeater" that will enable quantum communication over almost any distance: ion teleporters placed at regular intervals along a fibre could briefly store quantum states before sending them on their way, so no single photon has to travel too far."
http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20126936.500-teleporter-sends-ions-on-longdistance-journey.html?DCMP=OTC-rss&nsref=online-news
"The promise of this new process is that it could form the basis of a "quantum repeater" that will enable quantum communication over almost any distance: ion teleporters placed at regular intervals along a fibre could briefly store quantum states before sending them on their way, so no single photon has to travel too far."
Computing Update
New quantum dot technology should lead to computers that use 1,000 times less power and are 1,000 times smaller than current transistors:
http://www.physorg.com/news152271696.html
http://www.physorg.com/news152271696.html
Tuesday, February 3, 2009
Alternative Energies Update
Jatropha, whose seeds produce a highly efficient biofuel, grows like weeds in bad soil and won't displace food farmland:
http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,1874835,00.html
http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,1874835,00.html
Alternative Energies Update
New anti-reflective coating breakthrough creates nearly 100% absorption of sunlight (instead of the usual 66%) for solar panels:
http://www.ecogeek.org/content/view/2512/83/
http://www.ecogeek.org/content/view/2512/83/
Internet Update
South Korea will install a nationwide 1 Gbps super-broadband infrastructure by 2013 that will enable downloading a feature film in one to two seconds!
http://www.physorg.com/news152856783.html
http://www.physorg.com/news152856783.html
Computing Update
"IBM and the Department of Energy’s Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory have signed a new contract to build the next generation of IBM’s BlueGene supercomputers at the famed DOE facility. The first IBM BlueGene supercomputer, called “Dawn,” will have a top processing speed of 500 teraflops." (Due out at the end of this year.) "The second IBM system, dubbed “Sequoia,” will offer 20 petaflops of performance and surpass the records Big Blue set when it installed the massive Roadrunner system for the DOE in 2008." (Due out in 2012.) Sequoia will be nearly 20 times faster than the current fastest supercomputer:
http://www.eweek.com/c/a/IT-Infrastructure/IBM-Building-Next-Generation-of-BlueGene-Supercomputers/
http://www.eweek.com/c/a/IT-Infrastructure/IBM-Building-Next-Generation-of-BlueGene-Supercomputers/
Singularity Update
And now here's the new Singularity University, supported by NASA, Google and others. The NASA Research Park campus has a "nine-week graduate-level interdisciplinary curriculum designed to facilitate understanding, collaboration, and innovation across a broad range of carefully chosen scientific and technological disciplines whose developments are exponentially accelerating":
http://www.kurzweilai.net/news/frame.html?main=/news/news_single.html?id%3D10073
http://www.kurzweilai.net/news/frame.html?main=/news/news_single.html?id%3D10073
Robotics Update
Ethics report on autonomous military robots released:
http://ethics.calpoly.edu/pr_020209.html
"The public is generally surprised when they hear how great a role robots are playing in the military," explained Dr. Patrick Lin, director of the research group and co-author of the report. "But there hasn’t been much dialogue about the risks posed by these machines, especially as they are expected to be given more autonomy or a greater ability to make choices on their own, such as attack decisions."
http://ethics.calpoly.edu/pr_020209.html
"The public is generally surprised when they hear how great a role robots are playing in the military," explained Dr. Patrick Lin, director of the research group and co-author of the report. "But there hasn’t been much dialogue about the risks posed by these machines, especially as they are expected to be given more autonomy or a greater ability to make choices on their own, such as attack decisions."
Alternative Energies Update
Ethanol-powered portable fuel cells could be far more efficient than ethanol-powered engines and more practical than hydrogen-powered fuel cells:
http://www.technologyreview.com/energy/22041/
http://www.technologyreview.com/energy/22041/
Robotics Update
These robots use hive mind programming to drastically increase warehouse organizational and functional efficiency:
http://blog.wired.com/wiredscience/2009/01/retailrobots.html
http://blog.wired.com/wiredscience/2009/01/retailrobots.html
Computing Update
More indication of the Law of Accelerating Returns, in the form of India's $10 laptop:
http://www.physorg.com/news152541176.html
That price seems impossible...but even double that price seems impossible. Yet it would be vastly more powerful than my old Macintosh I bought in 1984 for over $3000....
Update 2/7/09: It turns out the price seems impossible because the device is actually just a "digital storage hub/net access point for educational media."
http://www.thestandard.com/news/2009/02/04/indias-10-laptop-too-good-be-true
http://www.physorg.com/news152541176.html
That price seems impossible...but even double that price seems impossible. Yet it would be vastly more powerful than my old Macintosh I bought in 1984 for over $3000....
Update 2/7/09: It turns out the price seems impossible because the device is actually just a "digital storage hub/net access point for educational media."
http://www.thestandard.com/news/2009/02/04/indias-10-laptop-too-good-be-true
Friday, January 30, 2009
Cybernetics Update
The creation of a remote-controlled cyborg beetle opens the door for creating ultra-small remote-controlled flying surveillance platforms:
http://www.technologyreview.com/computing/22039/?a=f
http://www.technologyreview.com/computing/22039/?a=f
Alternative Energies Update
LEDs last 10x as long as fluorescent bulbs (using 1/3 the energy) and 130x as long as incandescent bulbs. Now they may finally be ready for prime time:
http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn16496-cheap-superefficient-led-lights-on-the-horizon.html?DCMP=OTC-rss&nsref=online-news
http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn16496-cheap-superefficient-led-lights-on-the-horizon.html?DCMP=OTC-rss&nsref=online-news
Transportation Update
The technology to produce cars with incredible performance while using completely green technologies for fuel is here:
http://www.livescience.com/technology/090129-fastest-electric-car.html
So now it's just a matter of the batteries and solar collectors to come of age and we're set.
http://www.livescience.com/technology/090129-fastest-electric-car.html
So now it's just a matter of the batteries and solar collectors to come of age and we're set.
Computing Update
With the recession, Moore's Law is becoming more about minimizing cost for a certain level of performance rather than maximizing performance for a certain cost:
http://www.economist.com/opinion/displaystory.cfm?story_id=12932356
http://www.economist.com/opinion/displaystory.cfm?story_id=12932356
Wednesday, January 28, 2009
Artificial Intelligence Update
AI is finally coming of age. This article describes some of the latest advances in machine learning, and how AI is finally beginning to live up to the hype:
http://www.computerworld.com/action/article.do?command=viewArticleBasic&articleId=332273
(I think the final sentence is way off base, though!)
http://www.computerworld.com/action/article.do?command=viewArticleBasic&articleId=332273
(I think the final sentence is way off base, though!)
Monday, January 26, 2009
Computing Update
The limit of a bit of information was thought to be no more than one bit of information per atom or electron. But now, researchers at Stanford University have managed to pack information into subatomic spaces, creating a holographic drawing that contained 35 bits per electron:
http://www.nature.com/news/2009/090124/full/news.2009.54.html
http://www.nature.com/news/2009/090124/full/news.2009.54.html
Predictions Update
Here's a list of ten items researchers are working on now that may change our lives over the next couple of decades:
http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20126921.800-ten-scifi-devices-that-could-soon-be-in-your-hands.html?full=true&print=true
http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20126921.800-ten-scifi-devices-that-could-soon-be-in-your-hands.html?full=true&print=true
Transportation Update
Long, stretchy nanotubes appear set to make a space elevator possible:
http://www.physorg.com/news151938445.html
http://www.physorg.com/news151938445.html
Friday, January 23, 2009
Artificial Intelligence Update
"A dual-layer Blu-ray disc can store an impressive 50 gigabytes, but discs which can hold 20 times as much data have just taken a step closer, thanks to new materials that make reading and writing 3D holograms more reliable."
This isn't directly related to the title of this post, but...close enough, since AI will require the means to store massive amounts of data.
http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn16464-holographic-discs-set-to-smash-storage-records.html
This isn't directly related to the title of this post, but...close enough, since AI will require the means to store massive amounts of data.
http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn16464-holographic-discs-set-to-smash-storage-records.html
Thursday, January 22, 2009
Robotics Update
The gap is closing between what looks and acts like a machine vs. what looks and acts like a human:
http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn16461-tests-that-show-machines-closing-in-on-human-abilities.html?full=true
http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn16461-tests-that-show-machines-closing-in-on-human-abilities.html?full=true
Nanotechnology Update
"After announcing last April a method for growing exceptionally long, straight, numerous and well-aligned carbon cylinders only a few atoms thick, a Duke University-led team of chemists has now modified that process to create exclusively semiconducting versions of these single-walled carbon nanotubes."
"The achievement paves the way for manufacturing reliable electronic nanocircuits at the ultra-small billionths of a meter scale."
http://www.physorg.com/news151762245.html
"The achievement paves the way for manufacturing reliable electronic nanocircuits at the ultra-small billionths of a meter scale."
http://www.physorg.com/news151762245.html
Wednesday, January 21, 2009
Alternative Energies Update
New thermal photovoltaics solar panel technology generates electricity from waste heat, and could prove far more efficient than current conventional solar technology:
http://www.technologyreview.com/energy/21981/?a=f
http://www.technologyreview.com/energy/21981/?a=f
Tuesday, January 20, 2009
Robotics Update
Researchers are developing robots that use piezoelectricity to power microscopic robots to traverse the human circulatory system with less risk than catheters:
http://www.physorg.com/news151649983.html
http://www.physorg.com/news151649983.html
Monday, January 19, 2009
Nanotechnology Update
Researcher discovers how to use nanotubes to create molecular-level plumbing for filtering water and air, which should lead to cheap desalination systems, batteries and air-scrubbers (potentially removing excess C02 from the atmosphere):
http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20126911.500-nanoplumbing-more-than-just-a-pipe-dream.html?full=true
http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20126911.500-nanoplumbing-more-than-just-a-pipe-dream.html?full=true
Saturday, January 17, 2009
Nanotechnology Update
A new breakthrough allows a metamaterials-based invisibility cloak to work across a broad spectrum (as wide as the visible light spectrum, although only in the microwave range):
http://www.technologyreview.com/computing/21971/?a=f
http://www.technologyreview.com/computing/21971/?a=f
Virtual Reality Update
There's the theory that we all live in a virtual universe. Now it appears there's evidence we live in a giant hologram. I don't know whether or how the two relate, but the latter is mindblowing nevertheless:
http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20126911.300-our-world-may-be-a-giant-hologram.html?DCMP=OTC-rss&nsref=online-news
http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20126911.300-our-world-may-be-a-giant-hologram.html?DCMP=OTC-rss&nsref=online-news
Wednesday, January 14, 2009
Robotics Update
The year's most impressive robots--a collection of fascinating videos:
http://singularityhub.com/2009/01/12/a-review-of-the-best-robots-of-2008/
http://singularityhub.com/2009/01/12/a-review-of-the-best-robots-of-2008/
Cybernetics Update
New game devices give players psychokinesis-like powers to move objects with their minds:
http://www.physorg.com/news150781868.html
http://www.physorg.com/news150781868.html
Robotics Update
Japan develops a robot suit to help aging farmers perform arduous work:
http://www.physorg.com/news150697278.html
http://www.physorg.com/news150697278.html
Artificial Intelligence Update
New call center program promises to be much smarter than current AI programs:
http://www.kurzweilai.net/news/frame.html?main=/news/news_single.html?id%3D9980
"In essence, the system replaces a (hypothetical) intelligent live operator who happens to have an amazing memory. The system remembers each caller's preferences, previous calls and other details, so callers don't have to answer the same questions every time they call. If a call is interrupted, the system can call the customer back and pick up the conversation where it left off. Try getting all that on your next 800 number call!"
http://www.kurzweilai.net/news/frame.html?main=/news/news_single.html?id%3D9980
"In essence, the system replaces a (hypothetical) intelligent live operator who happens to have an amazing memory. The system remembers each caller's preferences, previous calls and other details, so callers don't have to answer the same questions every time they call. If a call is interrupted, the system can call the customer back and pick up the conversation where it left off. Try getting all that on your next 800 number call!"
Robotics Update
"Fantastic Voyage" miniature robots perform surgical operations:
http://www.physorg.com/news151005939.html
http://www.physorg.com/news151005939.html
Alternative Energies Update
Breakthrough catalyst allows artificial photosynthesis even more efficiently than plants:
http://www.ecogeek.org/content/view/2448/70/
http://www.ecogeek.org/content/view/2448/70/
Friday, January 9, 2009
Alternative Energies Update
Carbon nanotubes show promise in creating high-energy superbatteries:
http://www.technologyreview.com/energy/21938/?a=f
http://www.technologyreview.com/energy/21938/?a=f
Thursday, January 8, 2009
Genetic Engineering Update
A bit of a deviation from the point of this blog, but interesting nevertheless, this article discusses the prospects for resurrecting a number of species that have gone extinct over the past 100,000 years:
http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20126905.000-ten-extinct-beasts-that-could-walk-the-earth-again.html?full=true
http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20126905.000-ten-extinct-beasts-that-could-walk-the-earth-again.html?full=true
Wednesday, January 7, 2009
Robotics Update
Robots will rapidly replace human soldiers over the next decade:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/01/02/AR2009010202191_pf.html
"Armed robots will all be snipers. Stone-cold killers, every one of them. They will aim with inhuman precision and fire without human hesitation. They will not need bonuses to enlist or housing for their families or expensive training ranges or retirement payments. Commanders will order them onto battlefields that would mean certain death for humans, knowing that the worst to come is a trip to the shop for repairs."
Could this mean the end of genocide and conventional warfare? A new Pax Americana? Or bring fictional Skynet to reality.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/01/02/AR2009010202191_pf.html
"Armed robots will all be snipers. Stone-cold killers, every one of them. They will aim with inhuman precision and fire without human hesitation. They will not need bonuses to enlist or housing for their families or expensive training ranges or retirement payments. Commanders will order them onto battlefields that would mean certain death for humans, knowing that the worst to come is a trip to the shop for repairs."
Could this mean the end of genocide and conventional warfare? A new Pax Americana? Or bring fictional Skynet to reality.
Computing Update
Computers can now read and interpret the results of an MRI scan in what is, essentially, mind-reading:
http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2008/12/31/60minutes/main4694713.shtml
Be sure to play the video on the page to see the 60 Minutes interview demonstrating the technology. The researcher involved in the project predicts we'll have the ability to read complex thoughts within three to five years.
http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2008/12/31/60minutes/main4694713.shtml
Be sure to play the video on the page to see the 60 Minutes interview demonstrating the technology. The researcher involved in the project predicts we'll have the ability to read complex thoughts within three to five years.
Tuesday, January 6, 2009
Alternative Energies Update
This nano-scale antenna captures light like a radio antenna to then provide:
- Passive, energy-neutral cooling by converting infrared radiation into radiation that we don't feel as heat (like radio waves)
- Passive heating by turning radiation we don't feel as heat into infrared radiation
- Extremely efficient lighting by basically broadcasting photons from the nantennas
- Passive heating or cooling within clothing
- Electricitiy production in clothing by harnessing our bodies' radiation
Wednesday, December 31, 2008
Tuesday, December 30, 2008
Alternative Energies Update
An effective biofuel developed for jet engines:
http://news.aol.com/article/airline-uses-vegetable-oil-to-fuel-jet/289514
http://news.aol.com/article/airline-uses-vegetable-oil-to-fuel-jet/289514
Computing Update
Researchers working on atomic-scale computing have managed to design a simple logic gate with 30 atoms that perform the same task as 14 transistors:
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2008/12/081222113532.htm
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2008/12/081222113532.htm
Transportation Update
FINALLY, scientists have developed a turbo encabulator to solve the problem of inverse reactive current per use in unilateral phase detractors and synchronizing cardinal grammeters in vehicle transmissions:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rLDgQg6bq7o
(C'mon, gotta have a little levity now and then....)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rLDgQg6bq7o
(C'mon, gotta have a little levity now and then....)
Alternative Energies Update
Solar energy finally reaches "grid parity" (equal or cheaper cost than coal-based energy)...depending on how you calculate it:
http://www.ecogeek.org/content/view/2400/83/
http://www.ecogeek.org/content/view/2400/83/
Tuesday, December 23, 2008
Nanotechnology Update
Researchers design and build a fully functional nanocar, which is four nanometers across and includes a chassis with an engine, a pivoting suspension and rotating axles attached to rolling buckyball wheels:
http://www.computerworld.com/action/article.do?command=viewArticleBasic&taxonomyName=Storage&articleId=9123959&taxonomyId=19&pageNumber=1
http://www.computerworld.com/action/article.do?command=viewArticleBasic&taxonomyName=Storage&articleId=9123959&taxonomyId=19&pageNumber=1
Sunday, December 21, 2008
Predictions Update
Here's a long, old but well-written article on the path to the singularity, using references to science fiction throughout the ages:
http://www.grg.org/charter/Krell2.htm
Notable quote:
"If we assume that self-programming ability follows processing power, very soon after the point that computers of human brainpower are mass-production items, we may expect that computers will attain the total information processing power of all human minds on the planet. They will have long since become the experts in the design of more complex computers, just as they are today the reigning experts at chess strategy. At some point not long after that, computers will recapitulate human history, human culture, and human thought. They will then teach each other everything we humans know in a matter of years (months? days? hours?), and then move on. The whole thing will happen in a flash, and if it happens at all, will certainly happen long before we’re really ready for it. The "flash" seems inevitable before the end of this century, and seems quite probable (given even modest extrapolation) before the middle of it. And, of course, we’ll be unable to stop it, anymore than we can stop anything on the Internet. Before we know it, it will be done."
http://www.grg.org/charter/Krell2.htm
Notable quote:
"If we assume that self-programming ability follows processing power, very soon after the point that computers of human brainpower are mass-production items, we may expect that computers will attain the total information processing power of all human minds on the planet. They will have long since become the experts in the design of more complex computers, just as they are today the reigning experts at chess strategy. At some point not long after that, computers will recapitulate human history, human culture, and human thought. They will then teach each other everything we humans know in a matter of years (months? days? hours?), and then move on. The whole thing will happen in a flash, and if it happens at all, will certainly happen long before we’re really ready for it. The "flash" seems inevitable before the end of this century, and seems quite probable (given even modest extrapolation) before the middle of it. And, of course, we’ll be unable to stop it, anymore than we can stop anything on the Internet. Before we know it, it will be done."
Saturday, December 20, 2008
Computing Update
Researchers create graphene-based memory that can potentially store many times the memory of current flash memory, and is far more resistant to heat:
http://www.computerworld.com/action/article.do?command=viewArticleBasic&articleId=9123838
http://www.computerworld.com/action/article.do?command=viewArticleBasic&articleId=9123838
Genetic Engineering Update
Researchers engineer bacteria beyond the limits of nature to create higher-density biofuels:
http://www.physorg.com/news148833955.html
http://www.physorg.com/news148833955.html
Artificial Intelligence Update
Researchers are working to build a machine that can learn from experience:
http://www.physorg.com/news148754667.html
http://www.physorg.com/news148754667.html
Friday, December 19, 2008
Predictions Update
A list of upcoming inventions, from HUD contact lenses to bionic limbs. Also mentioned is uploading human minds to computers, allowing us to become truly immortal:
http://www.aolhealth.com/health/bionic-human-scientific-advancements?icid=200100397x1215240606x1201026834
http://www.aolhealth.com/health/bionic-human-scientific-advancements?icid=200100397x1215240606x1201026834
Friday, December 12, 2008
Transportation Update
And now electric vehicle technology has extended to the airplane. Here is a modified glider that not only can go 70 mph for 90 minutes for a total recharge cost of 70 CENTS, but when parked the propeller acts as a windmill to recharge the battery!
http://www.ecogeek.org/content/view/2353/69/
http://www.ecogeek.org/content/view/2353/69/
Transportation Update
For electric vehicle fans, here's a race between the Tango and the Tesla Roadster:
http://www.ecogeek.org/content/view/2355/69/
Electric vehicles and their immediate full torque can give them performance to put IC engines to shame.
http://www.ecogeek.org/content/view/2355/69/
Electric vehicles and their immediate full torque can give them performance to put IC engines to shame.
Thursday, December 11, 2008
Robotics Update
Medical robot likely to see battlefield use within a year:
http://www.physorg.com/news148069187.html
It's more like telepresence than it is a robot, but it's a significant step.
http://www.physorg.com/news148069187.html
It's more like telepresence than it is a robot, but it's a significant step.
Thursday, December 4, 2008
Alternative Energies Update
New thin film solar cells are 15% more efficient and use hundreds of times less material than conventional solar cells:
http://www.technologyreview.com/energy/21755/?a=f
http://www.technologyreview.com/energy/21755/?a=f
Computing Update
First superconducting transistor promises PC revolution:
http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026856.600-first-superconducting-transistor-promises-pc-revolution.html
http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026856.600-first-superconducting-transistor-promises-pc-revolution.html
Alternative Energies Update
Nanoporous silicon allows the creation of lithium batteries that can hold at least double the charge:
http://www.technologyreview.com/energy/21750/?a=f
http://www.technologyreview.com/energy/21750/?a=f
Alternative Energies Update
Nanoporous silicon allows the creation of lithium batteries that can hold at least double
Monday, December 1, 2008
Alternative Energies Update
New wind power system borrows technology from jet engines to potentially decrease the cost of wind power by half:
http://www.technologyreview.com/energy/21737/?a=f
http://www.technologyreview.com/energy/21737/?a=f
Wednesday, November 26, 2008
Cybernetics Update
The world's first cybernetic leaf uses plant photosynthesis to generate electricity:
http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn16132-cyborg-leaf-makes-new-solar-power-plant.html
http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn16132-cyborg-leaf-makes-new-solar-power-plant.html
Artificial Intelligence Update
Combat robots may be built with AI able to behave more ethically than human beings:
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/25/science/25robots.html?_r=1
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/25/science/25robots.html?_r=1
Tuesday, November 25, 2008
Genetic Engineering Update
Bacteria may be turned into microscopic bio-robot slaves to print nanoscale patterns:
http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn16119-invention-microscopic-biorobot-slaves.html?DCMP=OTC-rss&nsref=online-news
http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn16119-invention-microscopic-biorobot-slaves.html?DCMP=OTC-rss&nsref=online-news
Saturday, November 22, 2008
Alternative Energies Update
Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion is designed to exploit the difference in temperature between seawater near the surface and deep down, and has the potential to become the biggest source of renewable energy in the world:
http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026836.000-plumbing-the-oceans-could-bring-limitless-clean-energy.html?full=true
http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20026836.000-plumbing-the-oceans-could-bring-limitless-clean-energy.html?full=true
Cybernetics Update
Scientists develop a machine-brain interface that can detect neural activity and predict the movement of fingers, as well as which of several sounds the patient is imagining. This may lead to robotic limbs that move as easily as real ones, or a computer interface that detects imagined words:
http://www.technologyreview.com/biomedicine/21699/
http://www.technologyreview.com/biomedicine/21699/
Artificial Intelligence Update
DARPA funding "cognitive computing" intended to "engineer the mind by reverse-engineering the brain":
http://bits.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/11/20/hunting-for-a-brainy-computer/
http://bits.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/11/20/hunting-for-a-brainy-computer/
Friday, November 21, 2008
Robotics Update
Six ways to build robots that do humans no harm:
http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn16068-six-ways-to-build-robots-that-do-humans-no-harm.html
http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn16068-six-ways-to-build-robots-that-do-humans-no-harm.html
Saturday, November 15, 2008
Computing Update
Within the next couple of years, high-bandwidth wireless Internet signals will soon blanket the US, as frequencies previously used for television are freed up:
http://www.technologyreview.com/communications/21671/?a=f
http://www.technologyreview.com/communications/21671/?a=f
Alternative Energies Update
New windmill with variable pitch blades to optimize power generation from variable winds, increasing overall output by 50-100%:
http://www.technologyreview.com/energy/21666/?a=f
http://www.technologyreview.com/energy/21666/?a=f
Computing Update
System on a chip developed with transmission speeds 100 times faster than WiFi and 350 times faster than 3.5G cell phones, at about 1/10th the size and cost of existing chips:
http://www.physorg.com/news145636894.html
http://www.physorg.com/news145636894.html
Alternative Energies Update
Soon to be available for sale: shed-sized, safe, relatively cheap, no-maintenance nuclear power stations with no moving parts and no weapons-grade material, each capable of powering 20,000 homes and requiring refills every decade:
http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2008/nov/09/miniature-nuclear-reactors-los-alamos#history-byline
http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2008/nov/09/miniature-nuclear-reactors-los-alamos#history-byline
Cybernetics Update
Honda develops a unique leg exoskeleton that is easy to strap on and assists with walking, crouching, etc.:
http://www.informationweek.com/news/showArticle.jhtml?articleID=212001311&subSection=Management
http://www.informationweek.com/news/showArticle.jhtml?articleID=212001311&subSection=Management
Genetic Engineering Update
I think mastery of genetics is only a stepping stone or even a temporary side-step to converting human intelligence to non-biological information technology, but it still does have some interesting potential.
For example: MIT and Caltech students are studying how to convert bacteria into food to fight cavities, produce vitamins, and treat lactose intolerance:
http://www.technologyreview.com/biomedicine/21654/
For example: MIT and Caltech students are studying how to convert bacteria into food to fight cavities, produce vitamins, and treat lactose intolerance:
http://www.technologyreview.com/biomedicine/21654/
Computing Update
Effective 3D holographic-like display developed:
http://www.physorg.com/news145514544.html
Watch the video.
http://www.physorg.com/news145514544.html
Watch the video.
Predictions Update
Here's a list of the top ten forecasts for 2009 and beyond by The Futurist magazine:
http://www.wfs.org/Sept-Oct08/Nov-Dec%20FUTURIST/topTen.htm
An example: "Everything you say and do will be recorded by 2030. By the late 2010s, ubiquitous, unseen nanodevices will provide seamless communication and surveillance among all people everywhere."
http://www.wfs.org/Sept-Oct08/Nov-Dec%20FUTURIST/topTen.htm
An example: "Everything you say and do will be recorded by 2030. By the late 2010s, ubiquitous, unseen nanodevices will provide seamless communication and surveillance among all people everywhere."
Saturday, November 8, 2008
Technology Funding Update
Bill Joy is alarmed by the potential risks of advanced nanotech and the Singularity, so I'm not sure he's the best choice for being the US's chief technology officer (or maybe he's ideal because of that worry), but it's great to see that Obama is already seeking out the best minds in the field for his administration:
http://bits.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/11/05/john-doerrs-advice-for-barack-obama-hire-bill-joy/
http://bits.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/11/05/john-doerrs-advice-for-barack-obama-hire-bill-joy/
Thursday, November 6, 2008
Technology Funding Update
Good news: Barak Obama plans to greatly increase federal funding for scientific research, technological development and science education, as well as lift the ban on federally funded embryonic stem cell research:
http://www.newscientist.com/channel/opinion/dn15130-obama-promises-new-era-of-scientific-innovation.html (see the attached PDF file for more specific details)
And more from Obama on scientific development, in his own words:
http://environment.newscientist.com/channel/earth/dn15134-obama-on-science-in-his-own-words.html
Finally!
http://www.newscientist.com/channel/opinion/dn15130-obama-promises-new-era-of-scientific-innovation.html (see the attached PDF file for more specific details)
And more from Obama on scientific development, in his own words:
http://environment.newscientist.com/channel/earth/dn15134-obama-on-science-in-his-own-words.html
Finally!
Virtual Reality Update
The US Army plans to use virtual worlds to make virtual humans indistinguishable from real humans:
http://gizmodo.com/5077240/us-army-to-push-x+files-tech-development-invade-world-of-warcraft
This article also lists several other projects of interest.
http://gizmodo.com/5077240/us-army-to-push-x+files-tech-development-invade-world-of-warcraft
This article also lists several other projects of interest.
Alternative Energies Update
New technique for splitting water to get hydrogen using solar power:
http://www.ecogeek.org/content/view/2241/83/
The inventor claims it will change the world.
http://www.ecogeek.org/content/view/2241/83/
The inventor claims it will change the world.
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AI is Going Faster than You Think
Good summary of this point in time. https://youtu.be/mp-oiA9CYsQ?is=lhR9HClN9DlCc6nP
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