http://arstechnica.com/science/2016/08/new-analysis-shows-eastern-us-can-handle-30-percent-renewable-electricity/
"both Hawaii and California have set targets of 50 percent renewable energy by 2030. But, in an effort to keep the pace, New York recently announced that it, too, would be aiming to get to 50 percent renewables by that date."
Still not enough, but getting the grid to handle such intermittent sources of energy may be the sticking point.
Technology is advancing at an exponential rate often called the "Law of Accelerating Returns." If futurist predictions prove correct, we'll have advanced molecular manufacturing by around 2025, and possibly the replacement of humanity by vastly advanced machines a decade or two later.
This is a chronicle of our journey to that future, one advancing technology article at a time. I post the more significant and interesting articles as I come across them.
Wednesday, August 31, 2016
Engineers Design a New Solar Cell That is More Efficient and Costs Less
http://scitechdaily.com/mit-engineers-design-a-new-solar-cell-that-is-more-efficient-and-costs-less/
"The team’s step-cell concept can reach theoretical efficiencies above 40 percent and estimated practical efficiencies of 35 percent."
"The team’s step-cell concept can reach theoretical efficiencies above 40 percent and estimated practical efficiencies of 35 percent."
‘Star in a jar’ could lead to limitless fusion energy
http://www.kurzweilai.net/star-in-a-jar-could-lead-to-limitless-fusion-energy
It's always 30 years away...but it would still be a great option to have in addition to solar and wind.
It's always 30 years away...but it would still be a great option to have in addition to solar and wind.
LEDs, Not Solar, Have Transformed Their Industry
http://breakingenergy.com/2016/08/29/leds-not-solar-have-transformed-their-industry/
"We expect the light output per unit of electricity for LEDs to double from 2015 to 2125 as efficiency gains continue."
Great, and the LED bulbs I bought five years ago are already obsolete, though they should last until 2030!
"We expect the light output per unit of electricity for LEDs to double from 2015 to 2125 as efficiency gains continue."
Great, and the LED bulbs I bought five years ago are already obsolete, though they should last until 2030!
Tuesday, August 30, 2016
Offshore wind costs hit a record low with Dutch wind farm
http://www.triplepundit.com/podium/offshore-wind-costs-hit-record-low-dutch-wind-farm/
"This is a major contribution to the Netherlands’ goal of 16% sustainable energy in 2023, states the Dutch government."
The part that I don't quite get is that despite these major developments, we're still talking projected sustainable energy percentages (both in this article and the Texas one before this) in the teens. I hope they are making the classical mistake of not taking into account the rapid economies of scale and technological improvement. Because we need to do a lot better than that over the next couple decades.
"This is a major contribution to the Netherlands’ goal of 16% sustainable energy in 2023, states the Dutch government."
The part that I don't quite get is that despite these major developments, we're still talking projected sustainable energy percentages (both in this article and the Texas one before this) in the teens. I hope they are making the classical mistake of not taking into account the rapid economies of scale and technological improvement. Because we need to do a lot better than that over the next couple decades.
Offshore wind costs hit a record low with Dutch wind farm
http://www.triplepundit.com/podium/offshore-wind-costs-hit-record-low-dutch-wind-farm/
"This is a major contribution to the Netherlands’ goal of 16% sustainable energy in 2023, states the Dutch government."
The part that I don't quite get is that despite these major developments, we're still talking projected sustainable energy percentages (both in this article and the Texas one before this) in the teens. I hope they are making the classical mistake of not taking into account the rapid economies of scale and technological improvement. Because we need to do a lot better than that over the next couple decades.
"This is a major contribution to the Netherlands’ goal of 16% sustainable energy in 2023, states the Dutch government."
The part that I don't quite get is that despite these major developments, we're still talking projected sustainable energy percentages (both in this article and the Texas one before this) in the teens. I hope they are making the classical mistake of not taking into account the rapid economies of scale and technological improvement. Because we need to do a lot better than that over the next couple decades.
Sunday, August 28, 2016
Big data, Google and the end of free will
The humanism argument's a bit weak, but the rest is interesting. It ties well into David Brin's "The Transparent Society," which argues that privacy will soon disappear due to impending technological advances:
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/2/50bb4830-6a4c-11e6-ae5b-a7cc5dd5a28c.html
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/2/50bb4830-6a4c-11e6-ae5b-a7cc5dd5a28c.html
Friday, August 26, 2016
Thursday, August 25, 2016
New Lidar Chips for Self-Driving Vehicles are Smaller Than a Dime, Cost $10 to Manufacture
https://mishtalk.com/2016/08/24/new-lidar-chips-smaller-than-a-dime-cost-10-to-manufacture/
Considering $10,000 was a low price a year ago, this is significant!
Considering $10,000 was a low price a year ago, this is significant!
Tuesday, August 23, 2016
Friday, August 19, 2016
Thursday, August 18, 2016
Wednesday, August 17, 2016
Tuesday, August 16, 2016
Half A Billion Solar Panels By 2021: U.S. Army Makes It Look Easy
http://www.triplepundit.com/2016/08/half-billion-solar-panels-2021-u-s-army-makes-look-easy/
Utilities Fighting Lower Electric Bill Zombie Apocalypse
http://www.triplepundit.com/2016/08/utilities-fighting-lower-electric-bill-zombie-apocalypse/
"What is obviously missing in EEI’s perspective is a utility’s obligation to keep bills low in the face of competition just like businesses not protected by regulators and legislators."
"What is obviously missing in EEI’s perspective is a utility’s obligation to keep bills low in the face of competition just like businesses not protected by regulators and legislators."
Friday, August 12, 2016
Self-propelling liquid metals: the future of soft electronics?
http://www.kurzweilai.net/self-propelling-liquid-metals-the-future-of-soft-electronics
"May be possible to build a [T-1000-style] 3D liquid metal humanoid on demand”
Oh, yeah!
"May be possible to build a [T-1000-style] 3D liquid metal humanoid on demand”
Oh, yeah!
Thursday, August 11, 2016
The oil industry's massive supply-and-demand problem is about to get even worse
http://www.businessinsider.com/iea-report-on-global-oil-demand-and-supply-2016-8
This doesn't help the alternative energies sector, unfortunately. I'd rather see oil prices go through the roof, galvanizing a "moon shot" for solar and batteries.
This doesn't help the alternative energies sector, unfortunately. I'd rather see oil prices go through the roof, galvanizing a "moon shot" for solar and batteries.
Tuesday, August 9, 2016
Saturday, August 6, 2016
Thursday, August 4, 2016
Wednesday, August 3, 2016
Tuesday, August 2, 2016
Monday, August 1, 2016
Scientists invent a way to create CO2 fuel from a solar leaf
"The result: an artificial leaf that turns CO2 into fuel, "at a cost comparable to a gallon of gasoline" could render fossil fuel obsolete, according to the researchers."
http://www.csmonitor.com/Science/2016/0801/Scientists-invent-a-way-to-create-CO2-fuel-from-a-solar-leaf
http://www.csmonitor.com/Science/2016/0801/Scientists-invent-a-way-to-create-CO2-fuel-from-a-solar-leaf
Friday, July 29, 2016
Wednesday, July 27, 2016
Tuesday, July 26, 2016
Sunday, July 24, 2016
The Hyperloop: BUSTED!
Hmm, looks like the hyperloop has some probably insurmountable obstacles:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RNFesa01llk
And a follow-up video:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DDwe2M-LDZQ
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RNFesa01llk
And a follow-up video:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DDwe2M-LDZQ
Friday, July 22, 2016
Thursday, July 21, 2016
Wednesday, July 20, 2016
Tuesday, July 19, 2016
Monday, July 18, 2016
Thursday, July 14, 2016
Wednesday, July 13, 2016
Tuesday, July 12, 2016
Monday, July 11, 2016
Thursday, July 7, 2016
World's Largest Storage Battery Will Power Los Angeles...
...during peak demand. Note: the battery is not portable:
http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/world-s-largest-storage-battery-will-power-los-angeles/?wt.mc=SA_Facebook-Share
http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/world-s-largest-storage-battery-will-power-los-angeles/?wt.mc=SA_Facebook-Share
Wednesday, July 6, 2016
Tuesday, July 5, 2016
Big solar is leaving rooftop systems in the dust
Once again it's probably wise to wait before getting a rooftop solar system:
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/big-solar-leaving-rooftop-systems-050001843.html
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/big-solar-leaving-rooftop-systems-050001843.html
Inside the Artificial Intelligence Revolution: A Special Report
A great summary of how things are moving along in robotics and AI:
http://www.rollingstone.com/culture/features/inside-the-artificial-intelligence-revolution-a-special-report-pt-1-20160229
http://www.rollingstone.com/culture/features/inside-the-artificial-intelligence-revolution-a-special-report-pt-1-20160229
Friday, July 1, 2016
Falling Battery Prices Bring Opportunities and Pitfalls to EVs and Energy Storage
A 70% price drop in the last 18 months???
http://www.fool.com/investing/2016/07/01/falling-battery-prices-bring-opportunities-and-pit.aspx#.V3apwAfZ9E4.facebook
I keep wanting to get a solar system with battery backup, but the way prices keep dropping, it seems wisest to wait....
http://www.fool.com/investing/2016/07/01/falling-battery-prices-bring-opportunities-and-pit.aspx#.V3apwAfZ9E4.facebook
I keep wanting to get a solar system with battery backup, but the way prices keep dropping, it seems wisest to wait....
Tesla Driver Killed in Crash While Using Car’s Self-Driving System
http://time.com/4390853/tesla-self-drive-driver-killed-car-crash-auto-pilot/
I really hope this doesn't put a damper on robot cars. It shouldn't, since they're still a lot safer than humans...but you know, humans is weird.
I really hope this doesn't put a damper on robot cars. It shouldn't, since they're still a lot safer than humans...but you know, humans is weird.
Thursday, June 30, 2016
Mad Scientist Builds a 200-Watt Laser Bazooka That Can Shoot Through a Computer Case
I want one of these hooked up to a motion sensor to blast mosquitoes, flies and ants!
http://laughingsquid.com/mad-scientist-builds-a-200-watt-laser-bazooka-that-can-shoot-through-a-computer-case/
http://laughingsquid.com/mad-scientist-builds-a-200-watt-laser-bazooka-that-can-shoot-through-a-computer-case/
Wednesday, June 29, 2016
Chatbot lawyer overturns 160,000 parking tickets in London and New York
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2016/jun/28/chatbot-ai-lawyer-donotpay-parking-tickets-london-new-york
Replacing the lawyers! Yay! That's the best way to have both sides have equal representation, so that one side doesn't have an advantage for being able to hire a better lawyer. Everyone gets the same software.
Replacing the lawyers! Yay! That's the best way to have both sides have equal representation, so that one side doesn't have an advantage for being able to hire a better lawyer. Everyone gets the same software.
A.I. Downs Expert Human Fighter Pilot In Dogfight Simulation
Witness the birth of the Hunter-Killer unit from Terminator:
http://www.popsci.com/ai-pilot-beats-air-combat-expert-in-dogfight
http://www.popsci.com/ai-pilot-beats-air-combat-expert-in-dogfight
Tuesday, June 28, 2016
Monday, June 27, 2016
Powerful nanoengine built from coated nanoparticles
http://www.foresight.org/nanodot/?p=7083
"The forces exerted by these tiny devices are several orders of magnitude larger than those for any other previously produced device, with a force per unit weight nearly a hundred times better than any motor or muscle. According to the researchers, the devices are also bio-compatible, cost-effective to manufacture, fast to respond, and energy efficient."
Nice!
"The forces exerted by these tiny devices are several orders of magnitude larger than those for any other previously produced device, with a force per unit weight nearly a hundred times better than any motor or muscle. According to the researchers, the devices are also bio-compatible, cost-effective to manufacture, fast to respond, and energy efficient."
Nice!
Introducing Boston Dynamics' SpotMini Robot
I want one as a pet! Although it still has the creep factor in spades, especially with the "hand":
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tf7IEVTDjng
Watch to the very end. Amusing.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tf7IEVTDjng
Watch to the very end. Amusing.
Sunday, June 26, 2016
Thursday, June 23, 2016
Wednesday, June 22, 2016
Tuesday, June 21, 2016
Elon Musk Is Wrong. We Aren't Living in a Simulation
A long and annoying article against the possibility that we live in a simulation:
http://motherboard.vice.com/read/we-dont-live-in-a-simulation?utm_source=mbtwitter
His argument is mostly semantics. Sure, even a simulation is made of matter/energy, but when we talk about a simulation we're talking about a software-driven representation of the "real" world. And we're not talking about a virtual reality-type simulation (which would be on the path but not the end goal), where a virtual apple can't nourish a real person, but a software simulation of a human mind on a computer in a software world where virtual apples can have actual taste and nourishment to virtual beings. And there only needs to be ONE person simulated (YOU!) and only a small part of the world simulated (the places you actually visit); all the rest can be nothing more than AI beings that SEEM human (everyone you interact with) and distant places (like the moon and stars) with limited rendering (a star only needs to be a dot in the sky, not an actual sun). Even places you've visited in the past wouldn't necessarily have to have ever been simulated...just applied to your mind as a memory.
http://motherboard.vice.com/read/we-dont-live-in-a-simulation?utm_source=mbtwitter
His argument is mostly semantics. Sure, even a simulation is made of matter/energy, but when we talk about a simulation we're talking about a software-driven representation of the "real" world. And we're not talking about a virtual reality-type simulation (which would be on the path but not the end goal), where a virtual apple can't nourish a real person, but a software simulation of a human mind on a computer in a software world where virtual apples can have actual taste and nourishment to virtual beings. And there only needs to be ONE person simulated (YOU!) and only a small part of the world simulated (the places you actually visit); all the rest can be nothing more than AI beings that SEEM human (everyone you interact with) and distant places (like the moon and stars) with limited rendering (a star only needs to be a dot in the sky, not an actual sun). Even places you've visited in the past wouldn't necessarily have to have ever been simulated...just applied to your mind as a memory.
Monday, June 20, 2016
Bionic leaf 2.0
http://www.kurzweilai.net/bionic-leaf-2-0
"Harvard scientists have created a system a system that uses solar energy plus hydrogen-eating bacteria to produce liquid fuels with 10 percent efficiency, compared to the 1 percent seen in the fastest-growing plants."
"Harvard scientists have created a system a system that uses solar energy plus hydrogen-eating bacteria to produce liquid fuels with 10 percent efficiency, compared to the 1 percent seen in the fastest-growing plants."
Friday, June 17, 2016
Thursday, June 16, 2016
Wednesday, June 15, 2016
Monday, June 13, 2016
Saturday, June 11, 2016
Friday, June 10, 2016
Movie written by algorithm turns out to be hilarious and intense
AI has a ways to go before it makes a decent screenplay, but at least this is amusing and weird as hell!
http://arstechnica.com/the-multiverse/2016/06/an-ai-wrote-this-movie-and-its-strangely-moving/
http://arstechnica.com/the-multiverse/2016/06/an-ai-wrote-this-movie-and-its-strangely-moving/
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We’re Already Inside It (the Singularity)
The Singularity is here. And that robot is pretty terrifying. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=karLUZD9BRk
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Microchip manufacturers are working with different materials to carry Moore's Law beyond silicon: http://www.technologyreview.com/comput...
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"A computer chip that performs calculations using probabilities, instead of binary logic, could accelerate everything from online bank...