It may take a long time before self-driving cars can handle the most extreme last few percentage of driving situations, and China will almost certainly beat us to the punch (but I think 25 years is far too pessimistic, regardless):
http://www.cnbc.com/2017/04/06/bill-gurley-uber-investor-self-driving-cars-25-years-away-in-us.html
Technology is advancing at an exponential rate often called the "Law of Accelerating Returns." If futurist predictions prove correct, we'll have advanced molecular manufacturing by around 2025, and possibly the replacement of humanity by vastly advanced machines a decade or two later.
This is a chronicle of our journey to that future, one advancing technology article at a time. I post the more significant and interesting articles as I come across them.
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Terminator, here we come: https://www.techspot.com/news/102769-darpa-unleashes-20-foot-autonomous-robo-tank-glowing.html
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https://www.axios.com/newsletters/axios-science-d8320790-0daf-11ef-a29a-f77e554e12ab.html?chunk=2&utm_term=emshare#story2
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