Technology is advancing at an exponential rate often called the "Law of Accelerating Returns." If futurist predictions prove correct, we'll have advanced molecular manufacturing by around 2025, and possibly the replacement of humanity by vastly advanced machines a decade or two later.
This is a chronicle of our journey to that future, one advancing technology article at a time. I post the more significant and interesting articles as I come across them.
Wednesday, December 31, 2014
Tuesday, December 30, 2014
Monday, December 29, 2014
Tuesday, December 23, 2014
The First Prototype of Google’s Self-Driving Car
Only 25 mph top speed? Not impressive...but this one should be on the market in just a few years:
http://time.com/3644661/google-self-driving-car-prototype/?xid=newsletter-brief
http://time.com/3644661/google-self-driving-car-prototype/?xid=newsletter-brief
Monday, December 22, 2014
Sunday, December 21, 2014
Chinese solar panels hit with a anti-subsidies, anti-dumping tariffs
http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2014/12/20/us-deals-major-blow-to-chinese-solar-manufacturers.aspx
I would think this is ultimately good news for US manufacturers, though not as much for consumers in the short term.
I would think this is ultimately good news for US manufacturers, though not as much for consumers in the short term.
Friday, December 19, 2014
Thursday, December 18, 2014
Wednesday, December 17, 2014
Tuesday, December 16, 2014
AT&T made predictions in 1994 that have come true
http://news.yahoo.com/live-future-t-imagined-1994-161500780.html
I'm especially amused by the claim that voice translation is "still clearly in the future"...on the same day Skype becomes available to do exactly that. :-)
I'm especially amused by the claim that voice translation is "still clearly in the future"...on the same day Skype becomes available to do exactly that. :-)
Monday, December 15, 2014
Sunday, December 14, 2014
Thursday, December 11, 2014
Tuesday, December 9, 2014
Monday, December 8, 2014
Friday, December 5, 2014
Wednesday, December 3, 2014
Tuesday, December 2, 2014
Monday, December 1, 2014
The Uplifting Promise and Depressing Reality of Space Travel
This could be, if only we put more than a fraction of 1% of our budget into NASA:
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/11/30/wanderers-short-film_n_6244990.html?fb_action_ids=10204015258754626&fb_action_types=og.likes
But watching this video of what the upcoming Orion is supposed to do is depressing:
http://www.universetoday.com/116785/cool-nasa-animation-beautifully-details-every-step-of-orions-first-launch/
How painfully little has changed in 50 years! It's like watching a sad remake of a classic.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/11/30/wanderers-short-film_n_6244990.html?fb_action_ids=10204015258754626&fb_action_types=og.likes
But watching this video of what the upcoming Orion is supposed to do is depressing:
http://www.universetoday.com/116785/cool-nasa-animation-beautifully-details-every-step-of-orions-first-launch/
How painfully little has changed in 50 years! It's like watching a sad remake of a classic.
Saturday, November 22, 2014
Thursday, November 20, 2014
Sunday, November 16, 2014
Friday, November 14, 2014
Thursday, November 13, 2014
Twisted-light waves transmitted in air over a 3-kilometer path
http://www.kurzweilai.net/twisted-light-waves-transmitted-in-air-over-a-3-kilometer-path?utm_source=KurzweilAI+Daily+Newsletter&utm_campaign=2547c5ecc1-UA-946742-1&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_6de721fb33-2547c5ecc1-281903081
"The light can be theoretically twisted with an infinite number of turns, with each configuration acting as a single communication channel ... a number of experiments using twisted light over fiber-optic links, some showing that twisted-light can be used to transmit 2.5 terabits of data per second."
"The light can be theoretically twisted with an infinite number of turns, with each configuration acting as a single communication channel ... a number of experiments using twisted light over fiber-optic links, some showing that twisted-light can be used to transmit 2.5 terabits of data per second."
Magnesium To Replace Lithium-ion Batteries Soon
This sounds like a major game-changer:
http://wallstcheatsheet.com/business/magnesium-to-replace-lithium-ion-batteries-soon.html/?a=viewall
"up to 12 times the energy density of a lithium-ion battery and its charge-discharge efficiency is five times greater"
http://wallstcheatsheet.com/business/magnesium-to-replace-lithium-ion-batteries-soon.html/?a=viewall
"up to 12 times the energy density of a lithium-ion battery and its charge-discharge efficiency is five times greater"
Wednesday, November 12, 2014
Monday, November 10, 2014
Tuesday, November 4, 2014
Monday, November 3, 2014
Nanomotor Lithography Used to Develop Nanoscale Machines
http://www.jacobsschool.ucsd.edu/news/news_releases/release.sfe?id=1591
"the team developed nanorobots, or nanomotors, that are chemically-powered, self-propelled and magnetically controlled"
"the team developed nanorobots, or nanomotors, that are chemically-powered, self-propelled and magnetically controlled"
Wednesday, October 29, 2014
Grid Parity to Reach 36 States in 2016
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-10-29/while-you-were-getting-worked-up-over-oil-prices-this-just-happened-to-solar.html
So it it fair to say that 2016 is the tipping point?
So it it fair to say that 2016 is the tipping point?
Tuesday, October 28, 2014
Monday, October 27, 2014
Wednesday, October 22, 2014
Monday, October 20, 2014
Brighter, New Energy-Saving Flat Panel Lights Based on Carbon Nanotubes
http://www.aip.org/publishing/journal-highlights/beyond-leds-flat-panel-lights-using-carbon-nanotubes
"Scientists from Tohoku University in Japan have developed a new type of energy-efficient flat light source based on carbon nanotubes with very low power consumption of around 0.1 Watt for every hour's operation -- about a hundred times lower than that of an LED."
"Scientists from Tohoku University in Japan have developed a new type of energy-efficient flat light source based on carbon nanotubes with very low power consumption of around 0.1 Watt for every hour's operation -- about a hundred times lower than that of an LED."
Soda May Age You as Much as Smoking, Study Says
One good way to not lose a few years from your lifespan:
http://time.com/3513875/soda-may-age-you-as-much-as-smoking/?xid=newsletter-brief
http://time.com/3513875/soda-may-age-you-as-much-as-smoking/?xid=newsletter-brief
Friday, October 17, 2014
Wednesday, October 15, 2014
Electric 1000+ hp motor goes 0 to 60 in under 3 seconds
http://wrightspeed.com/products/the-circuit/
Of course, my Suzuki Hayabusa motorcycle goes 0-60 in about 2.6 seconds and does the quarter mile in 9.7 seconds (and can be found brand new for as little as $11,000), but it also can't carry more than two passengers....
Of course, my Suzuki Hayabusa motorcycle goes 0-60 in about 2.6 seconds and does the quarter mile in 9.7 seconds (and can be found brand new for as little as $11,000), but it also can't carry more than two passengers....
Tuesday, October 14, 2014
Giant Battery Unit Aims at Wind Storage Holy Grail
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-10-13/giant-battery-unit-aims-at-wind-storage-holy-grail-commodities.html
"Electric-car battery prices already have fallen by 50 percent since 2010 to about $500 per kilowatt hour, and “by drawing on auto-battery technology, battery makers may also be able to supply storage batteries at a lower price,” Citigroup said in a Sept. 25 report. Tesla Chairman Elon Musk said in July that battery packs for electric cars will drop to $100 in the next 10 years."
"Electric-car battery prices already have fallen by 50 percent since 2010 to about $500 per kilowatt hour, and “by drawing on auto-battery technology, battery makers may also be able to supply storage batteries at a lower price,” Citigroup said in a Sept. 25 report. Tesla Chairman Elon Musk said in July that battery packs for electric cars will drop to $100 in the next 10 years."
New Li-Ion Batteries Charge 70 Percent in 2 Minutes, Last for 20 Years
This one actually has strong promise of coming to fruition:
http://gizmodo.com/new-li-ion-batteries-charge-70-percent-in-2-minutes-la-1645721894
http://gizmodo.com/new-li-ion-batteries-charge-70-percent-in-2-minutes-la-1645721894
Friday, October 10, 2014
Cold fusion reactor seems to have 1 million times the energy density of gasoline
We've been here before...but the third-party testing is the first step to verification that this time it's legit:
http://www.extremetech.com/extreme/191754-cold-fusion-reactor-verified-by-third-party-researchers-seems-to-have-1-million-times-the-energy-density-of-gasoline
http://www.extremetech.com/extreme/191754-cold-fusion-reactor-verified-by-third-party-researchers-seems-to-have-1-million-times-the-energy-density-of-gasoline
Thursday, October 9, 2014
Wednesday, October 8, 2014
Monday, October 6, 2014
Thursday, October 2, 2014
Monday, September 29, 2014
Sunday, September 28, 2014
Ultra-thin diamond nanothreads are strongest, stiffest materials
Friday, September 26, 2014
Wednesday, September 24, 2014
Friday, September 19, 2014
A new impermeable form of graphene oxide could be the ultimate protective coating
http://www.kurzweilai.net/a-new-impermeable-form-of-graphene-oxide-could-be-the-ultimate-protective-coating?utm_source=KurzweilAI+Daily+Newsletter&utm_campaign=e1450f72b7-UA-946742-1&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_6de721fb33-e1450f72b7-281903081
http://phys.org/news/2014-09-graphene-corrosion-free-future.html#nRlv
http://phys.org/news/2014-09-graphene-corrosion-free-future.html#nRlv
Tuesday, September 16, 2014
Saturday, September 13, 2014
Friday, September 12, 2014
Thursday, September 11, 2014
Tuesday, September 9, 2014
Monday, September 8, 2014
Saturday, September 6, 2014
Friday, September 5, 2014
Friday, August 29, 2014
Tuesday, August 26, 2014
Saturday, August 23, 2014
Wednesday, August 20, 2014
Sunday, August 17, 2014
Friday, August 15, 2014
Wednesday, August 13, 2014
Your Services Are No Longer Required - The Coming "Great Idleness"
Robots and A.I. will likely eliminate most jobs over the next two decades. Marshall Brain wrote about it in 2003, I think, suggesting a universal basic income based on advertising to ensure everyone can survive joblessness:
http://marshallbrain.com/robotic-nation.htm
Here are more ideas:
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2014/08/12/1321054/-Your-Services-Are-No-Longer-Required-The-Coming-Great-Idleness?detail=email
http://marshallbrain.com/robotic-nation.htm
Here are more ideas:
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2014/08/12/1321054/-Your-Services-Are-No-Longer-Required-The-Coming-Great-Idleness?detail=email
Tuesday, August 12, 2014
Monday, August 11, 2014
Saturday, August 9, 2014
Friday, August 8, 2014
Thursday, August 7, 2014
This Chinese company can 3D print 10 houses in a day
http://www.sciencealert.com.au/news/20141604-25394.html
The result looks clunky and plain right now...but imagine where the technology will be in five, ten years. It may become common practice when buying a new home to tear down the old house and build exactly what you want, rather than live with someone else's custom home.
The result looks clunky and plain right now...but imagine where the technology will be in five, ten years. It may become common practice when buying a new home to tear down the old house and build exactly what you want, rather than live with someone else's custom home.
Declining intelligence in old age linked to visual processing
This is probably why playing computer games helps keep your brain young:
http://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2014-08/cp-dii073014.php
http://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2014-08/cp-dii073014.php
Wednesday, August 6, 2014
Friday, August 1, 2014
Suing Obama in Federal Court is Likely to Fail Miserably
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2014/07/31/1318130/-Turns-out-that-lawsuits-have-rules?detail=email
Thursday, July 31, 2014
Scientists develop a 'nanosubmarine' that delivers complementary molecules inside cells
It's too preliminary to be all that encouraging yet, but such a "nanosubmarine" is the ultimate goal for maintaining biological health:
http://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2014-06/uom-sda062514.php
Maybe it can use this to maneuver:
http://www.ats.org/news/worlds-smallest-propeller-could-be-used-for-microscopic-medicine/
http://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2014-06/uom-sda062514.php
Maybe it can use this to maneuver:
http://www.ats.org/news/worlds-smallest-propeller-could-be-used-for-microscopic-medicine/
Wednesday, July 30, 2014
A Colorful Tree That Grows 40 Different Types Of Fruit
This isn't really new tech, but it does suggest some cool options for the future. I would love to have a few of these trees!
http://designtaxi.com/news/367792/In-New-York-There-Is-A-Colorful-Tree-That-Grows-40-Different-Types-Of-Fruit/?interstital_shown=1
http://designtaxi.com/news/367792/In-New-York-There-Is-A-Colorful-Tree-That-Grows-40-Different-Types-Of-Fruit/?interstital_shown=1
Monday, July 28, 2014
Thursday, July 24, 2014
New Quantum Theory Topples Einstein's Spacetime
I'm not sure what this implies, but it is fascinating:
http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/splitting-time-from-space/
http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/splitting-time-from-space/
Wednesday, July 23, 2014
Monday, July 21, 2014
Friday, July 18, 2014
Thursday, July 17, 2014
Fish oil pills may prevent Alzheimer's
Gotta keep the meat brain healthy until it can be replaced with machine parts!
https://www.yahoo.com/health/fish-oil-boosts-brain-power-says-science-91965585587.html
https://www.yahoo.com/health/fish-oil-boosts-brain-power-says-science-91965585587.html
Wednesday, July 16, 2014
Tuesday, July 15, 2014
Boron "Buckyball" Discovered
A new material for the nanotechnology playhouse:
http://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2014-07/bu-rdb071014.php
http://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2014-07/bu-rdb071014.php
Friday, July 11, 2014
New Internet speed record blows past Google Fiber
10x faster than Google Fiber...over copper cables?
http://money.cnn.com/2014/07/10/technology/innovationnation/internet-speed-record/index.html?iid=HP_Highlight&nbd=5_things
http://money.cnn.com/2014/07/10/technology/innovationnation/internet-speed-record/index.html?iid=HP_Highlight&nbd=5_things
Your skin cells have a sense of smell?
Slightly off-topic, but definitely interesting:
http://time.com/2969963/sandalwood-scent-heal-wounds/?xid=newsletter-brief
http://time.com/2969963/sandalwood-scent-heal-wounds/?xid=newsletter-brief
Thursday, July 10, 2014
Tuesday, July 8, 2014
Scientists criticize the Human Brain Project
Well, if they can get the research expanded, that'll be a good thing:
http://www.livescience.com/46678-scientists-criticize-human-brain-project.html
http://www.livescience.com/46678-scientists-criticize-human-brain-project.html
Friday, July 4, 2014
USC Scientists Create New Battery That’s Cheap, Clean, Rechargeable… and Organic
http://pressroom.usc.edu/usc-scientists-create-new-battery-thats-cheap-clean-rechargeable-and-organic/
"The batteries last for about 5,000 recharge cycles, giving them an estimated 15-year lifespan ... "Lithium ion batteries degrade after around 1,000 cycles, and cost 10 times more to manufacture."
"The batteries last for about 5,000 recharge cycles, giving them an estimated 15-year lifespan ... "Lithium ion batteries degrade after around 1,000 cycles, and cost 10 times more to manufacture."
Monday, June 30, 2014
Wednesday, June 25, 2014
Tuesday, June 24, 2014
Wednesday, June 18, 2014
Elon Musk plans to build one of the single largest solar panel production plants in the world and send people in Mars in ten years
http://www.kurzweilai.net/musk-announces-plans-to-build-one-of-the-single-largest-solar-panel-production-plants-in-the-world?utm_source=KurzweilAI+Daily+Newsletter&utm_campaign=637110a742-UA-946742-1&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_6de721fb33-637110a742-281903081
I hope all the great projects he's doing isn't because he has a small penis.
On second thought...I don't really care about the reason!
More:
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-06-17/solarcity-to-acquire-silevo-to-become-pv-panel-manufacturer.html?cmpid=yhoo
I hope all the great projects he's doing isn't because he has a small penis.
On second thought...I don't really care about the reason!
More:
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-06-17/solarcity-to-acquire-silevo-to-become-pv-panel-manufacturer.html?cmpid=yhoo
New Type Of Computer Capable Of Calculating 640TBs Of Data In One Billionth Of A Second, Could Revolutionize Computing
http://www.iflscience.com/technology/new-type-computer-capable-calculating-640tbs-data-one-billionth-second-could
"...if the technology was scaled down, smartphones could be fabricated with 100 terabytes of memory."
Damn impressive!
"...if the technology was scaled down, smartphones could be fabricated with 100 terabytes of memory."
Damn impressive!
Monday, June 16, 2014
200 years that changed the world (with Hans Rosling)
Here's that active chart Ray Kurzweil used in his talk (posted here a few days ago):
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BPt8ElTQMIg
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BPt8ElTQMIg
Sunday, June 15, 2014
Kurzweil talk on what the future will be like
Long, but that gives Kurzweil enough time to give a compelling overview of the Law of Accelerating Returns:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oe7hG1NXVdw&feature=youtu.be
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oe7hG1NXVdw&feature=youtu.be
Wednesday, June 11, 2014
Kurzweil says not so fast on the claim the Turing Test has been passed
http://www.kurzweilai.net/response-by-ray-kurzweil-to-the-announcement-of-chatbot-eugene-goostman-passing-the-turing-test?utm_source=KurzweilAI+Daily+Newsletter&utm_campaign=9e3dc32041-UA-946742-1&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_6de721fb33-9e3dc32041-281903081
Seeing Kurzweil's test of the chatbot makes it clear the Turing Test has definitely NOT been passed.
Seeing Kurzweil's test of the chatbot makes it clear the Turing Test has definitely NOT been passed.
Sunday, June 8, 2014
Computer becomes first to pass Turing Test in artificial intelligence milestone
http://www.independent.co.uk/life-style/gadgets-and-tech/computer-becomes-first-to-pass-turing-test-in-artificial-intelligence-milestone-but-academics-warn-of-dangerous-future-9508370.html
Fooling people into thinking you're a 13 y.o. Ukrainian boy who speaks English as a second language isn't the biggest challenge...but it's still a big one!
Fooling people into thinking you're a 13 y.o. Ukrainian boy who speaks English as a second language isn't the biggest challenge...but it's still a big one!
Friday, June 6, 2014
The fuel cell for home
Cheaply and simply converting chemical energy into electrical energy:
http://www.fraunhofer.de/en/press/research-news/2014/june/the-fuel-cell-for-home.html
http://www.fraunhofer.de/en/press/research-news/2014/june/the-fuel-cell-for-home.html
Robot dancer inhabits the Uncanny Valley
Creepy, yes, but some of those motions are so human-like:
http://www.fastcocreate.com/3028268/how-did-this-happen-the-terrifying-fascinating-dancing-woman-thats-giving-the-internet-the-w
http://www.fastcocreate.com/3028268/how-did-this-happen-the-terrifying-fascinating-dancing-woman-thats-giving-the-internet-the-w
Tuesday, June 3, 2014
Monday, June 2, 2014
Robot Velociraptor Runs Faster Than Usain Bolt
Faster and stronger and more enduring...I have to laugh at those who point to today's limits as if there won't be continuing and dramatic improvements.
http://www.iflscience.com/technology/robot-velociraptor-runs-faster-usain-bolt
http://www.iflscience.com/technology/robot-velociraptor-runs-faster-usain-bolt
Sunday, June 1, 2014
Friday, May 30, 2014
Thursday, May 29, 2014
Wednesday, May 28, 2014
Monday, May 26, 2014
Glasses-free 3D projector
Closing in on truly realistic 3D images without glasses, which needs different eye focusing for different distances, and the ability to change viewing angle to reveal or hide objects behind other objects:
http://www.kurzweilai.net/glasses-free-3d-projector?utm_source=KurzweilAI+Daily+Newsletter&utm_campaign=836712646c-UA-946742-1&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_6de721fb33-836712646c-281903081
http://www.kurzweilai.net/glasses-free-3d-projector?utm_source=KurzweilAI+Daily+Newsletter&utm_campaign=836712646c-UA-946742-1&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_6de721fb33-836712646c-281903081
Sunday, May 25, 2014
Researchers Reveal Smallest, Fastest Nanomotor Yet
http://www.iflscience.com/technology/researchers-reveal-smallest-fastest-nanomotor-yet
It's microtechnology, not nanotechnology, but it's still an important step in the right direction.
It's microtechnology, not nanotechnology, but it's still an important step in the right direction.
Wednesday, May 14, 2014
Tuesday, May 13, 2014
Monday, May 12, 2014
Parrot camera drone
http://www.cnet.com/videos/parrot-bebop-drone/
Camera drones are getting smaller and more powerful. How long before they're virtually undetectable and ubiquitous? David Brin's Transparent Society keeps getting closer....
Camera drones are getting smaller and more powerful. How long before they're virtually undetectable and ubiquitous? David Brin's Transparent Society keeps getting closer....
Saturday, May 10, 2014
85TB of data can now fit onto a single cassette tape
http://news.yahoo.com/sony-figured-cram-185tb-data-onto-single-cassette-014537232.html
How futuristically retro. Like an antimatter-powered carburetor.
How futuristically retro. Like an antimatter-powered carburetor.
Thursday, May 8, 2014
Astronomers create first realistic virtual universe
Wednesday, May 7, 2014
Tuesday, May 6, 2014
Monday, May 5, 2014
Human Brain Microchip Uses 9,000 Times Less Power Than a PC
http://www.livescience.com/45304-human-brain-microchip-9000-times-faster-than-pc.html
I think they meant to say less power, not faster....
I think they meant to say less power, not faster....
Watson finds pro and con arguments for any controversial topic
Could this be the first steps toward a cyberocracy that makes better decisions for societies than humans do...like driverless cars will make the roads safer than human drivers?
http://www.kurzweilai.net/introducing-a-new-feature-of-ibms-watson-the-debater?utm_source=KurzweilAI+Daily+Newsletter&utm_campaign=46c8d8958b-UA-946742-1&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_6de721fb33-46c8d8958b-281903081
http://www.kurzweilai.net/introducing-a-new-feature-of-ibms-watson-the-debater?utm_source=KurzweilAI+Daily+Newsletter&utm_campaign=46c8d8958b-UA-946742-1&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_6de721fb33-46c8d8958b-281903081
Sunday, May 4, 2014
Is the movie Transcendence plausible?
http://www.slate.com/articles/technology/future_tense/2014/04/transcendence_science_can_we_really_upload_johnny_depp_s_brain.html
The 2070 time frame for whole brain emulation seems to ignore the Law of Accelerating Returns (assuming it holds), and I understand we have supercomputers right now that may be able to handle a human brain (even if the software and brain understanding issues lag behind).
The 2070 time frame for whole brain emulation seems to ignore the Law of Accelerating Returns (assuming it holds), and I understand we have supercomputers right now that may be able to handle a human brain (even if the software and brain understanding issues lag behind).
Hawking, Tegmark, Russel and Wilczek on the lack of A.I. planning
Not much of an article, but notable for its writers and what they believe is coming:
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/stephen-hawking/artificial-intelligence_b_5174265.html
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/stephen-hawking/artificial-intelligence_b_5174265.html
Wednesday, April 30, 2014
How a synapse stays stable when its proteins are renewed
http://www.mpg.de/8125352/synapses-stability
This may not sound interesting, but if we are to eventually replace our vulnerable protein human brains with tougher, more resilient materials, this process may hold the answer to how to do so without destroying the original person and having a materially superior copy live on in his/her stead.
This may not sound interesting, but if we are to eventually replace our vulnerable protein human brains with tougher, more resilient materials, this process may hold the answer to how to do so without destroying the original person and having a materially superior copy live on in his/her stead.
Monday, April 28, 2014
Blood of world's oldest woman hints at limits of life
http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn25458?cmpid=NLC%7CNSNS%7C2014-2404-GLOBAL&utm_medium=NLC&utm_source=NSNS&#.U17DLfldVvB
I hope we get beyond fixing biology by moving to a non-protein-based platform.
I hope we get beyond fixing biology by moving to a non-protein-based platform.
Sunday, April 27, 2014
Thursday, April 24, 2014
Wednesday, April 23, 2014
Monday, April 21, 2014
Thursday, April 17, 2014
Monday, April 14, 2014
Sunday, April 13, 2014
Tuesday, April 8, 2014
Monday, April 7, 2014
Eric Drexler TED talk on nanotechnology
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ylOCEmlnyHk&feature=c4-overview&list=UU_qqMD08PFrDfPREoBEL6IQ
I've talked with Drexler. He's soft-spoken and not very dynamic, but there's some valuable info in this talk.
I've talked with Drexler. He's soft-spoken and not very dynamic, but there's some valuable info in this talk.
Thursday, April 3, 2014
Wednesday, April 2, 2014
Ordered carbon-nanotube design may increase conductivity of solar cells by 100 million times
If the news stories about 3x efficiency here and 10x more energy there are impressive, surely 100 million times is astounding...but what it will result in I have no idea:
http://www.kurzweilai.net/ordered-carbon-nanotube-design-may-increase-conductivity-of-solar-cells-by-100-million-times?utm_source=KurzweilAI+Daily+Newsletter&utm_campaign=84111bdf01-UA-946742-1&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_6de721fb33-84111bdf01-281903081
http://www.kurzweilai.net/ordered-carbon-nanotube-design-may-increase-conductivity-of-solar-cells-by-100-million-times?utm_source=KurzweilAI+Daily+Newsletter&utm_campaign=84111bdf01-UA-946742-1&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_6de721fb33-84111bdf01-281903081
Thursday, March 27, 2014
Tuesday, March 25, 2014
Monday, March 24, 2014
Friday, March 21, 2014
Thursday, March 20, 2014
Monday, March 17, 2014
Friday, March 14, 2014
Thursday, March 13, 2014
Monday, March 10, 2014
Wednesday, March 5, 2014
Friday, February 28, 2014
Can space elevators really work?
http://www.kurzweilai.net/can-space-elevators-really-work?utm_source=KurzweilAI+Daily+Newsletter&utm_campaign=c3ac475f88-UA-946742-1&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_6de721fb33-c3ac475f88-281903081
"David quotes Arthur C. Clarke: “The space elevator will be built ten years after they stop laughing…and they have stopped laughing!”"
"David quotes Arthur C. Clarke: “The space elevator will be built ten years after they stop laughing…and they have stopped laughing!”"
Ultra-thin capacitors could acclerate development of next-gen electronics
http://www.kurzweilai.net/ultra-thin-capacitors-could-acclerate-development-of-next-gen-electronics?utm_source=KurzweilAI+Daily+Newsletter&utm_campaign=c3ac475f88-UA-946742-1&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_6de721fb33-c3ac475f88-281903081
"In addition, the new capacitor has a capacitance density of as high as ∼27.5 μF (microfarads) per square centimeter, which is approximately 2000 times higher than those of currently available commercial products."
"In addition, the new capacitor has a capacitance density of as high as ∼27.5 μF (microfarads) per square centimeter, which is approximately 2000 times higher than those of currently available commercial products."
Wednesday, February 26, 2014
Tuesday, February 25, 2014
Monday, February 24, 2014
Sunday, February 23, 2014
Tuesday, February 18, 2014
Monday, February 17, 2014
Friday, February 14, 2014
Thursday, February 13, 2014
Wednesday, February 12, 2014
Monday, February 10, 2014
The "Ubi" computer turns your house into a smart home
Still has a lot of features to add, but it's inexpensive and actually does turn your house into a smart home:
http://www.kurzweilai.net/ubi-ubiquitous-computer-beta-test-program-launched?utm_source=KurzweilAI+Daily+Newsletter&utm_campaign=8b405031de-UA-946742-1&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_6de721fb33-8b405031de-281903081
http://www.kurzweilai.net/ubi-ubiquitous-computer-beta-test-program-launched?utm_source=KurzweilAI+Daily+Newsletter&utm_campaign=8b405031de-UA-946742-1&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_6de721fb33-8b405031de-281903081
Friday, February 7, 2014
Solar becomes increasingly cost effective and produces more jobs than coal and oil combined
Thursday, February 6, 2014
Cybernetic hand that conveys a sense of touch
This is huge:
http://www.everydayhealth.com/news/amputee-feels-objects-first-time-decade/?xid=aol_eh-news_11_20140203_&aolcat=HLT&ncid=webmail23
It's a necessary step to get bionics that act just like the real thing.
Having to give the hand back, though, seems rather creepily like amputation to me....
http://www.everydayhealth.com/news/amputee-feels-objects-first-time-decade/?xid=aol_eh-news_11_20140203_&aolcat=HLT&ncid=webmail23
It's a necessary step to get bionics that act just like the real thing.
Having to give the hand back, though, seems rather creepily like amputation to me....
Monday, February 3, 2014
Wednesday, January 29, 2014
Note from the president of Plug In America
Happy first newsletter of 2014!
The timeline of electric vehicles spans back to the 1800s. During the EV “golden age” (late 1890s and early 1900s) 38 percent of American automobiles were powered by electricity and “America became the country where electric cars had gained the most acceptance.” The period between 1920 and 1990 saw some small-scale electric car projects, but most progress was lost.
In the 1990s, driven by research programs like the Partnership for a New Generation of Vehicles and legislation such as California’s ZEV Mandate, we were introduced to vehicles by U.S. Electricar, Solectria and GM and Toyota which were faster and could go further than ever before. Some call this the “modern age”, but because development was purely research and legislative-based, and sales never reached critical mass, the term chosen by Wikipedia is very fitting. It was a “revival of interest.”
The “modern age” arguably began with a disaffected Tesla Motors developing the Roadster which began deliveries in 2008, and really solidified in late 2010/early 2011 with the start of Chevy Volt and Nissan LEAFs deliveries. Plug In America was founded on the hope that something would make this wave of vehicles different. That highway-speed electric cars would “stick” and become once more an indelible part of America’s transportation system. And that perhaps we could help.
How do we know this is an “age” at all, instead of merely another “revival?” Here are a couple of reasons:
Exponential Growth
We know, of course, that EVs are a great product. So just like in the old (but brilliant)shampoo commercial, we expected that early drivers would tell their friends. In fact, we’ve used an adage for a couple of years now—“It takes a driver to make a driver.” Seeing an exponential growth curve is a clue that drivers may be selling cars to other drivers. And now that we have three years of data, that’s just the curve we see in this chart (again from the very useful Luskin study to which we’ve referred several times already).
Just three simple numbers can convey this phenomenon. 17,000, 53,000, 96,000. Those are the rounded last three years of PEV sales. More on that last number in the 2013 summary below.
Variety of Models
Depending on who you ask, there are nine to thirteen new PEV models coming out this year. History shows that new models are often delayed, and never (in my recollection at least) come early, so some of these may be pushed back as always.
Diversity is important for any ecosystem, including the electric car industry. 2014 will be an exciting year because we will be welcoming:
- The BMW i3 with its REx option, which will offer a new combination of battery and auxiliary power
- Models from car companies who have so far stayed on the sidelines of the “modern age”. These include the aforementioned BMW i3 and i8, the Volkswagen e-Golf, the Kia Soul EV, and the Porsche Panamera Plug-In S-E (which has already started deliveries).
- Upscale versions of existing platforms. The Cadillac ELR and Infiniti Electric Sedan allow GM and Nissan to leverage their existing Volt and LEAF technologies and reach new customers.
- Hopefully a second model from Tesla Motors. The Model X may however, bedelayed until next year.
- Breakout sales of e-motorcycles
More Cars
There have been many predictions made lately. One of the most respected (and quoted) studies to come out recently was “10 Predictions for 2014”. In it, Navigant Research predicts 86% growth in worldwide electric car sales in 2014. If this is true in the United States (and the 3-year chart above seems to indicate this as well) we may be seeing two milestones in 2014. The first 15K sales month, and the doubling of all electric cars on the road by the end of the year.
So welcome to the modern age of electric vehicles. It’s so exciting to be witnessing this first-hand. We’re not quite back to 38% of cars (we’re still working on cracking 1%). But we’re headed in the right direction.
Thank you,
Richard Kelly
President
President
PS: The peak of the “golden age” was also the peak of lead-acid vehicle sales, the “revival of interest” in the ’90s coincided with the first NiMH cars, and the “modern age” began with the new lithium battery EVs. Referring to battery chemistry may be a bit geeky to some drivers who don't want to delve to that level of detail, but it remains a clear way to identify the different periods.
Plug-in Vehicle Roundup (December Plug-In Vehicle Sales and 2013 Summary)
First of all, let’s talk about December.
The biggest news is that Nissan sold an all-time record number of LEAFs, 2,529. Nissan recently announced that awaited production capacity has finally come on line. So we hope to see in 2014 what sales look like with less supply bottleneck. Pricing for 2014 LEAFs has been bumped up $180 for all trim levels.
The Cadillac ELR marked its first month in the charts, selling a few vehicles. This beauty has been called an “upscale Volt” and may represent GM’s first shot across Tesla Motors’ bow.
Looking back on all of 2013, it was really a great year. 96,000 vehicles is a breathtaking accomplishment and represents more vehicles sold in one year than were sold in the last 100 years.
The “real” cars made up the bulk (86%) of sales. The Chevy Volt was the winning model for 2014, with more than 23,094 sold. Nissan LEAF followed closely at 22,610, and the other models’ numbers start dropping off a bit after that.
In 2011 we heard critics say that low initial sales of PEVs signaled their doom. However many noticed that compared to initial conventional hybrid (eg. Prius) sales, adoption rates looked pretty good. The Luskin researchers did this apples-to-apples comparison as well and show that BEVs and PHEVs are actually doing a little better than conventional hybrids did at the same time in their introduction. And this is true even for BEVs and PHEVs individually. We all know how well hybrids are doing today, so this is likely just the beginning.
Monday, January 27, 2014
Thursday, January 23, 2014
Wednesday, January 15, 2014
Harvard creates inexpensive, organic carbon-based "quinone" molecules free flow battery
Great potential for storing energy for overnight use in homes with solar panels:
http://m.fool.com/investing/general/2014/01/14/harvard-research-team-has-breakthrough-on-battery?source=eogyholnk0000001
http://m.fool.com/investing/general/2014/01/14/harvard-research-team-has-breakthrough-on-battery?source=eogyholnk0000001
Tuesday, January 14, 2014
The movie "Her" emphasizes hidden technology
http://www.wired.com/design/2014/01/will-influential-ui-design-minority-report/
I already have a passive-aggressive relationship with Siri. A romantic relationship can't be far behind.
I already have a passive-aggressive relationship with Siri. A romantic relationship can't be far behind.
Monday, January 13, 2014
Sunday, January 12, 2014
Friday, January 10, 2014
Friday, January 3, 2014
Wednesday, January 1, 2014
Rupturing The Nanotech Rapture
I suspect the author is yet another person who observes near-term engineering problems in a narrow area, while underestimating accelerating returns and ignoring the developments in converging fields. He says he hasn't seen much progress in nanotech in the last 15 years, but then critics of the Human Genome Project scoffed at the 1% sequencing achieved after 7 years (halfway through the project), even though the project was completed a couple years ahead of schedule. But it's still an interesting perspective, and he does ultimately accept that we may achieve achieve the goals of advanced nanotech and the technological singularity, just not so soon nor through the same methods predicted:
http://spectrum.ieee.org/semiconductors/nanotechnology/rupturing-the-nanotech-rapture
http://spectrum.ieee.org/semiconductors/nanotechnology/rupturing-the-nanotech-rapture
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)
Quantum Teleportation Becomes Reality on Active Internet Cables
https://scitechdaily.com/quantum-teleportation-becomes-reality-on-active-internet-cables/
-
http://www.sltrib.com/home/3898355-155/albuquerque-weighs-getting-more-solar-power
-
"An experimental demonstration of a quantum calculation has shown that a single molecule can perform operations thousands of times fast...