I suspect they're being far too conservative:
http://fortune.com/2016/06/13/solar-to-get-crazy-cheap/?xid=yahoo_fortune&yptr=yahoo
Technology is advancing at an exponential rate often called the "Law of Accelerating Returns." If futurist predictions prove correct, we'll have advanced molecular manufacturing by around 2025, and possibly the replacement of humanity by vastly advanced machines a decade or two later.
This is a chronicle of our journey to that future, one advancing technology article at a time. I post the more significant and interesting articles as I come across them.
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Germany modernizes it's windmills
Germany's first generation of commercial wind turbines was installed in the 1990s — small machines of 100 to 500 kilowatts that stood 40...
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“Our AI tools dramatically accelerated the discovery process, which uncovered five entirely new porous transition metal oxide structures tha...
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Terminator, here we come: https://www.techspot.com/news/102769-darpa-unleashes-20-foot-autonomous-robo-tank-glowing.html
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