Technology is advancing at an exponential rate often called the "Law of Accelerating Returns." If futurist predictions prove correct, we'll have advanced molecular manufacturing by around 2025, and possibly the replacement of humanity by vastly advanced machines a decade or two later.
This is a chronicle of our journey to that future, one advancing technology article at a time. I post the more significant and interesting articles as I come across them.
Friday, August 31, 2018
Would You Eat ‘Meat’ from a Lab? Consumers Aren’t Necessarily Sold on ‘Cultured Meat’
It's not encouraging now, but I'll bet that changes. It always seems to:
https://singularityhub.com/2018/08/31/would-you-eat-meat-from-a-lab-consumers-arent-necessarily-sold-on-cultured-meat/
https://singularityhub.com/2018/08/31/would-you-eat-meat-from-a-lab-consumers-arent-necessarily-sold-on-cultured-meat/
Wednesday, August 29, 2018
How China Is Quickly Becoming an AI Superpower
Ugh. Looks like the US lead in AI is about to go bye-bye bigly:
https://singularityhub.com/2018/08/29/china-ai-superpower/
https://singularityhub.com/2018/08/29/china-ai-superpower/
If We Ever Want Artificial General Intelligence, Governments Need To Invest In It
Some projects just need the resources and broader spectrum a government can provide (although I'm not sure I buy the argument that private industry won't want to create AI or that it's that far away):
https://futurism.com/artificial-general-intelligence-governments-invest/
https://futurism.com/artificial-general-intelligence-governments-invest/
Sunday, August 26, 2018
Friday, August 24, 2018
Thursday, August 23, 2018
Wednesday, August 22, 2018
Tuesday, August 21, 2018
Landmark FDA Approval Brings Powerful Gene Silencing Method to Market
"Earlier this month, the FDA approved an entirely new family of drugs, one so powerful that it could put CRISPR-based gene therapy to shame."
https://singularityhub.com/2018/08/21/landmark-fda-approval-brings-powerful-gene-silencing-method-to-market
https://singularityhub.com/2018/08/21/landmark-fda-approval-brings-powerful-gene-silencing-method-to-market
Algorithms Outpace Moore’s Law for AI
"Professor Martin Groetschel observed that a linear programming problem that would take 82 years to solve in 1988 could be solved in one minute in 2003. Hardware accounted for 1,000 times speedup, while algorithmic advance accounted for 43,000 times. Similarly, MIT professor Dimitris Bertsimas showed that the algorithm speedup between 1991 and 2013 for mixed integer solvers was 580,000 times, while the hardware speedup of peak supercomputers increased only a meager 320,000 times."
https://www.eetimes.com/author.asp?section_id=36&doc_id=1333617
Could this mean AI may arrive a lot sooner than anticipated?
https://www.eetimes.com/author.asp?section_id=36&doc_id=1333617
Could this mean AI may arrive a lot sooner than anticipated?
Machine learning: Japan to boost English teaching in schools with AI robots
$227,000 for a robot to teach English? Um...isn't there a free app for that (#Duolingo)?
https://www.scmp.com/news/asia/article/2160678/circuits-love-japan-boost-english-schools-ai-robots
https://www.scmp.com/news/asia/article/2160678/circuits-love-japan-boost-english-schools-ai-robots
Monday, August 20, 2018
Yuval Noah Harari on what the year 2050 has in store for humankind
How we should change education to fit a rapidly-changing society:
https://www.wired.co.uk/article/yuval-noah-harari-extract-21-lessons-for-the-21st-century
https://www.wired.co.uk/article/yuval-noah-harari-extract-21-lessons-for-the-21st-century
Stacking concrete blocks is a surprisingly efficient way to store energy
This seems so clunky, yet it's almost as efficient as lithium-ion batteries:
https://qz.com/1355672/stacking-concrete-blocks-is-a-surprisingly-efficient-way-to-store-energy/
https://qz.com/1355672/stacking-concrete-blocks-is-a-surprisingly-efficient-way-to-store-energy/
Thursday, August 16, 2018
You Can Now Buy The World’s First Graphene Jacket, And It’s Everything You Want It To Be
At $695 it's too expensive right now...but that'll change:
Monday, August 13, 2018
Friday, August 10, 2018
The next major innovation in batteries might be here
This innovation to DOUBLE battery energy storage is a little more promising than most:
https://qz.com/1349245/the-next-major-innovation-in-batteries-might-be-here/
https://qz.com/1349245/the-next-major-innovation-in-batteries-might-be-here/
Monday, August 6, 2018
Sunday, August 5, 2018
Why China will win the global race for complete AI dominance
They're serious about A.I. because it's the one technology they can do as well as anyone:
https://www.wired.co.uk/article/why-china-will-win-the-global-battle-for-ai-dominance
https://www.wired.co.uk/article/why-china-will-win-the-global-battle-for-ai-dominance
Your Life in 2027: A Look at the Future | Vivek Wadhwa
This is a great summary of what technology we can expect to see over the next decade or so:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m0wy0YYzU0s
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m0wy0YYzU0s
Thursday, August 2, 2018
Tuesday, July 31, 2018
This Mind-Controlled Robotic Limb Lets You Multitask With Three Arms
Apparently our brains are capable of controlling three arms. How cool is that?
https://singularityhub.com/2018/07/31/this-prosthesis-lets-you-multitask-with-three-arms/
https://singularityhub.com/2018/07/31/this-prosthesis-lets-you-multitask-with-three-arms/
Friday, July 27, 2018
Tuesday, July 24, 2018
Making Sense of Solar Energy Innovations
A summary of the solar technologies in the works:
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/making-sense-solar-energy-innovations-georges-sassine/
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/making-sense-solar-energy-innovations-georges-sassine/
Virtual Reality Has Reached A “Tipping Point.” It’s Officially Here to Stay.
https://futurism.com/virtual-reality-tipping-point/
And a VR game custom designed to scare the shit out of you:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iGB_ehJy4K0&feature=youtu.be
And a VR game custom designed to scare the shit out of you:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iGB_ehJy4K0&feature=youtu.be
Monday, July 23, 2018
From Here to Human-Level Artificial General Intelligence in Four (Not All That) Simple Steps
"I do believe they are achievable within our lifetime, maybe even in the next 5-10 years."
https://singularityhub.com/2018/07/22/from-here-to-human-level-artificial-general-intelligence-in-four-not-all-that-simple-steps/
https://singularityhub.com/2018/07/22/from-here-to-human-level-artificial-general-intelligence-in-four-not-all-that-simple-steps/
Evolutionary algorithm outperforms deep-learning machines at video games
Who needs programming when evolution can do the job for you?
https://www.technologyreview.com/s/611568/evolutionary-algorithm-outperforms-deep-learning-machines-at-video-games/
https://www.technologyreview.com/s/611568/evolutionary-algorithm-outperforms-deep-learning-machines-at-video-games/
Why the chess community actually grew when computers learned to play
"Humans have a deep appreciation for other humans doing remarkable things. Because of this, there will always be a demand for outstanding chess players, artists, and anyone pushing the boundaries of what is humanly possible. Even if computers can win every chess game, or create incredible art in every form, the fact that a machine did it is actually diminishing. We like the constraint of being human, and seeing what’s possible from within those boundaries. When we see a performance, we don’t just see it for what it is. We see the entire history, the years of training that led up to them being able to perform with such excellence."
https://work.qz.com/1329974/jobs-and-ai-if-you-are-worried-about-human-obsolescence-consider-chess/
https://work.qz.com/1329974/jobs-and-ai-if-you-are-worried-about-human-obsolescence-consider-chess/
Friday, July 20, 2018
Tuesday, July 17, 2018
This Drug Combo Extends Lifespan and Healthspan in Mice by Killing ‘Zombie’ Cells
This is a pretty stunning potential game-changer:
https://singularityhub.com/2018/07/17/this-drug-combo-extends-lifespan-and-healthspan-in-mice-by-killing-zombie-cells/
https://singularityhub.com/2018/07/17/this-drug-combo-extends-lifespan-and-healthspan-in-mice-by-killing-zombie-cells/
Monday, July 16, 2018
Why Most of Us Fail to Grasp Coming Exponential Gains in AI
This article explains the problems with exponential growth charts (I myself have been guilty of misunderstanding the "dog leg" of exponential increase):
https://singularityhub.com/2018/07/15/why-most-of-us-fail-to-grasp-coming-exponential-gains-in-ai/
https://singularityhub.com/2018/07/15/why-most-of-us-fail-to-grasp-coming-exponential-gains-in-ai/
Thursday, July 12, 2018
Four Challenges for LiDAR on the Road to Autonomous Vehicles
The adoption of self-driving cars has some snags we don't think about:
https://www.designnews.com/electronics-test/four-challenges-lidar-on-road-autonomous-vehicles/213073188758977
https://www.designnews.com/electronics-test/four-challenges-lidar-on-road-autonomous-vehicles/213073188758977
Tuesday, July 10, 2018
Monday, July 9, 2018
Inside a $1 Billion Real Estate Company Operating Entirely in VR
A taste of what working remotely is like in VR:
https://singularityhub.com/2018/07/08/inside-a-1-billion-real-estate-company-operating-entirely-in-vr/
https://singularityhub.com/2018/07/08/inside-a-1-billion-real-estate-company-operating-entirely-in-vr/
An Overview of National AI Strategies
This worldwide push toward A.I. is why calls to keep the genie bottled up won't work:
https://medium.com/politics-ai/an-overview-of-national-ai-strategies-2a70ec6edfd
https://medium.com/politics-ai/an-overview-of-national-ai-strategies-2a70ec6edfd
An AI learnt to drive an autonomous car in 20 minutes
It's breakthroughs like this that make me doubt autonomous car pessimists:
https://www.cnet.com/roadshow/news/an-ai-learnt-to-drive-an-autonomous-car-in-20-minutes/
https://www.cnet.com/roadshow/news/an-ai-learnt-to-drive-an-autonomous-car-in-20-minutes/
Friday, July 6, 2018
Three Huge Ways Tech Is Overhauling Healthcare
VERY nice:
"We are on the brink of a revolution in healthcare. AI is making the drug discovery process >100X faster and cheaper, and 90 percent more likely to succeed in clinical trials. Mobile health is predicted to become a $102 billion market by 2022, putting a virtual doctor, on-demand, in your back pocket. And the cost of sequencing your genome (3.2 billion base pairs) has decreased 100,000-fold over 13 years, a staggering speed that is 3 times faster than the rate of Moore’s Law."
https://singularityhub.com/2018/07/06/three-huge-ways-tech-is-overhauling-healthcare
"We are on the brink of a revolution in healthcare. AI is making the drug discovery process >100X faster and cheaper, and 90 percent more likely to succeed in clinical trials. Mobile health is predicted to become a $102 billion market by 2022, putting a virtual doctor, on-demand, in your back pocket. And the cost of sequencing your genome (3.2 billion base pairs) has decreased 100,000-fold over 13 years, a staggering speed that is 3 times faster than the rate of Moore’s Law."
https://singularityhub.com/2018/07/06/three-huge-ways-tech-is-overhauling-healthcare
Discovering new drugs and materials by ‘touching’ molecules in virtual reality
Very science fictiony way to design new materials:
http://www.kurzweilai.net/discovering-new-drugs-and-materials-by-touching-molecules-in-virtual-reality
http://www.kurzweilai.net/discovering-new-drugs-and-materials-by-touching-molecules-in-virtual-reality
Thursday, July 5, 2018
We may have answered the Fermi Paradox: We are alone in the universe
This would suck...and make preserving out planet even more imperative:
https://qz.com/1314111/we-may-have-answered-the-fermi-paradox-we-are-alone-in-the-universe/
https://qz.com/1314111/we-may-have-answered-the-fermi-paradox-we-are-alone-in-the-universe/
Wednesday, July 4, 2018
China's New Laser Gun Can Zap You with a Silent, Carbonizing Beam
I suspect this is bullshit, but here's the claim:
https://www.livescience.com/62973-china-laser-guns.html
Skeptics weigh in:
https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy-defence/article/2153791/laser-ak-47-chinese-developer-answers-sceptics-videos
Update: Yeah, certainly bullshit:
https://bigthink.com/news/we-call-bullshit-on-that-chinese-army-laser-gun-thats-making-the-rounds
https://www.livescience.com/62973-china-laser-guns.html
Skeptics weigh in:
https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy-defence/article/2153791/laser-ak-47-chinese-developer-answers-sceptics-videos
Update: Yeah, certainly bullshit:
https://bigthink.com/news/we-call-bullshit-on-that-chinese-army-laser-gun-thats-making-the-rounds
Tuesday, July 3, 2018
Monday, July 2, 2018
The New Energy Storage Tech Gates, Bezos, Ma, and Branson Are Investing In
Another potential avenue for solving the battery problem:
One of these has to pay off sooner or later.
Sunday, July 1, 2018
New material eliminates need for motors or actuators in future robots, other devices
"It can exert a force of up to 3000 times its own weight — producing stress and speed comparable to mammalian skeletal muscles, according to the researchers."
http://www.kurzweilai.net/new-material-eliminates-need-for-motors-or-actuators-in-future-robots-other-devices
http://www.kurzweilai.net/new-material-eliminates-need-for-motors-or-actuators-in-future-robots-other-devices
Friday, June 29, 2018
Organic Compounds Bubble Up from the Depths of Enceladus
And more encouragement for extraterrestrial life closer to home:
https://scitechdaily.com/organic-compounds-bubble-up-from-depths-of-enceladus/
https://scitechdaily.com/organic-compounds-bubble-up-from-depths-of-enceladus/
Astronomers Discover More Clues That Earth-Like Exoplanets Are Indeed Earth-Like
This is encouraging for the prospects of extraterrestrial life:
https://scitechdaily.com/astronomers-discover-more-clues-that-earth-like-exoplanets-are-indeed-earth-like/
https://scitechdaily.com/astronomers-discover-more-clues-that-earth-like-exoplanets-are-indeed-earth-like/
Nuclear Fusion Power Could Be Here by 2030, One Company Says
Well this is a step up from fusion power always being 30 years in the future:
https://www.livescience.com/62929-plasma-fusion-reactor-tokamak.html
https://www.livescience.com/62929-plasma-fusion-reactor-tokamak.html
Wednesday, June 27, 2018
The Smart Road Tech That’s Making Driving Faster, Safer, And Just Better
Very slick. Now if they can just integrate solar power:
https://singularityhub.com/2018/06/27/the-smart-road-tech-thats-making-driving-faster-safer-and-just-better/
https://singularityhub.com/2018/06/27/the-smart-road-tech-thats-making-driving-faster-safer-and-just-better/
Aliens May Be Rearranging Stars to Fight Dark Energy, Awesome Study Suggests
One way to possibly discover highly advanced alien life by simply looking at the stars:
https://www.livescience.com/62917-aliens-rearrange-stars-fight-dark-energy.html
https://www.livescience.com/62917-aliens-rearrange-stars-fight-dark-energy.html
DARPA Literally Reinvented The Wheel
Another very science-fictiony piece of tech:
https://taskandpurpose.com/darpa-wheel-combat-vehicles/
https://taskandpurpose.com/darpa-wheel-combat-vehicles/
What it’s like to watch an IBM AI successfully debate humans
I watched a documentary on this. The amount of not just knowledge but ability to understand spoken debate and respond to it in kind is pretty amazing:
https://www.theverge.com/2018/6/18/17477686/ibm-project-debater-ai
https://www.theverge.com/2018/6/18/17477686/ibm-project-debater-ai
Flying Dragon Robot Transforms Itself to Squeeze Through Gaps
Very science-fictiony cool (watch the video):
Tuesday, June 26, 2018
Friday, June 22, 2018
Wednesday, June 20, 2018
This Jet Suit Agility Test Looks Like Something Straight Out Of An Action Film
More out of science fiction than an action film. Cool either way:
http://digg.com/video/jet-suit-testing
http://digg.com/video/jet-suit-testing
Hyundai teams up with VW's Audi to boost hydrogen cars
I think electric batteries are ultimately the way to go, but it's good to see alternatives being worked on:
Tuesday, June 19, 2018
Is AI on Track to Achieving Superintelligence?
Some fascinating developments...like being able to tell what a person looks like and much more from voice alone:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ls1_tqlpMww&feature=youtu.be
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ls1_tqlpMww&feature=youtu.be
Sunday, June 17, 2018
My conversation with an AI sexbot
It's happening. Slowly, and definitely not there yet, but surely:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5pKczGG19uo&feature=youtu.be
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5pKczGG19uo&feature=youtu.be
Thursday, June 14, 2018
Here Are The Best Candidates in the Competition to Design A Personal Flying Device
Just such a contest worked for robot cars in 2004 (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/DARPA_Grand_Challenge), so maybe we'll all have personal flying machines within 15-20 years:
https://futurism.com/boeing-gofly-competition-personal-flying-transport-vehicle/
https://futurism.com/boeing-gofly-competition-personal-flying-transport-vehicle/
Wednesday, June 13, 2018
Can Turning Air into Gasoline Really Reverse Climate Change?
It may be too expensive right now...but ultimately sucking carbon out of the air is going to have to happen:
https://www.livescience.com/62784-co2-suck-climate-gasoline-air.html
https://www.livescience.com/62784-co2-suck-climate-gasoline-air.html
The technologies which are revolutionizing batteries
Nanotech is creeping into batteries, but there are roadblocks:
https://nano-magazine.com/news/2018/6/13/the-technologies-which-are-revolutionizing-batteries/
https://nano-magazine.com/news/2018/6/13/the-technologies-which-are-revolutionizing-batteries/
Tuesday, June 12, 2018
This wild, AI-generated film is the next step in “whole-movie puppetry”
Filmmakers need not fear being replaced by A.I....yet:
https://arstechnica.com/gaming/2018/06/this-wild-ai-generated-film-is-the-next-step-in-whole-movie-puppetry/
https://arstechnica.com/gaming/2018/06/this-wild-ai-generated-film-is-the-next-step-in-whole-movie-puppetry/
New PPA In Arizona Locks In Lowest Solar Prices In US As Demise Of Navajo Station Looms
Solar WITH battery comes out cheaper than coal here:
https://cleantechnica.com/2018/06/11/new-ppa-in-arizona-locks-in-lowest-solar-prices-in-us-as-demise-of-navajo-station-looms/
https://cleantechnica.com/2018/06/11/new-ppa-in-arizona-locks-in-lowest-solar-prices-in-us-as-demise-of-navajo-station-looms/
Monday, June 11, 2018
First contact: what if we find not organic life but ET’s AI?
An interesting exploration into the possibility of discovering machine life:
https://aeon.co/essays/first-contact-what-if-we-find-not-organic-life-but-ets-ai
https://aeon.co/essays/first-contact-what-if-we-find-not-organic-life-but-ets-ai
This box sucks pure water out of dry desert air
All of us out west may be using this sort of a device before too long:
https://techcrunch.com/2018/06/08/this-box-sucks-pure-water-out-of-dry-desert-air/
https://techcrunch.com/2018/06/08/this-box-sucks-pure-water-out-of-dry-desert-air/
Engineers Develop New System to Provide Low-Cost Drinking Water
This could add a massive amount to our drinking water supply:
https://scitechdaily.com/engineers-develop-new-system-to-provide-low-cost-drinking-water/
https://scitechdaily.com/engineers-develop-new-system-to-provide-low-cost-drinking-water/
Thursday, June 7, 2018
5 Reasons Car Companies Are Betting Big on Energy Storage
Makes a lot of sense to me:
https://singularityhub.com/2018/06/07/5-reasons-car-companies-are-betting-big-on-energy-storage/
To put things into perspective, a typical house easily runs on a 13.5 kWh Tesla Powerwall 2 all evening and more, and a Tesla car has a minimum of a 70 kWh battery.
https://singularityhub.com/2018/06/07/5-reasons-car-companies-are-betting-big-on-energy-storage/
To put things into perspective, a typical house easily runs on a 13.5 kWh Tesla Powerwall 2 all evening and more, and a Tesla car has a minimum of a 70 kWh battery.
We took an exclusive ride in a flying car
A flying car made with drone technology to make it extremely simple to learn:
http://money.cnn.com/2018/06/06/technology/flying-car-las-vegas-kitty-hawk/index.html
http://money.cnn.com/2018/06/06/technology/flying-car-las-vegas-kitty-hawk/index.html
AI can transfer human facial movements from one video to another
Further evolution in the creation of realistic fake videos. Pretty impressive...and bound to cause problems politically sooner or later:
Wednesday, June 6, 2018
Tuesday, June 5, 2018
How Cyanobacteria Could Help Save the Planet
Ultimately, I think we're going to need nanotech to pull carbon from the atmosphere and make it into useful products, but this may be helpful in the meantime:
https://singularityhub.com/2018/06/04/how-cyanobacteria-could-help-save-the-planet/
https://singularityhub.com/2018/06/04/how-cyanobacteria-could-help-save-the-planet/
Monday, June 4, 2018
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This Battery On Wheels Makes Any Diesel Truck Electric In 5 Minutes
This is brilliant. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Idhfl-2FHJw
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Microchip manufacturers are working with different materials to carry Moore's Law beyond silicon: http://www.technologyreview.com/comput...
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"A computer chip that performs calculations using probabilities, instead of binary logic, could accelerate everything from online bank...