Technology is advancing at an exponential rate often called the "Law of Accelerating Returns." If futurist predictions prove correct, we'll have advanced molecular manufacturing by around 2025, and possibly the replacement of humanity by vastly advanced machines a decade or two later.
This is a chronicle of our journey to that future, one advancing technology article at a time. I post the more significant and interesting articles as I come across them.
Sunday, June 27, 2010
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Alternative Energies Update
The addition of carbon nanotubes increases the energy delivery of lithium-ion batteries by up to 10x:
Singularity Update
This long article overviews the Singularity and describes those involved in the concept:
Computing Update
Scientists achieve a major advance toward making computer circuitry out of graphene, the most promising replacement for silicon:
Robotics Update
Big Dog's little brother Little Dog is a 5" tall robot able to clamber over a variety of uneven and unstable terrain effectively:
It almost looks alive....
Nanotechnology Update
Displaying movies and other moving graphics may be powered by a superconducting power source:
http://www.physorg.com/news193635596.html
http://www.physorg.com/news193635596.html
Friday, May 21, 2010
Computing Update
Quantum teleportation has been achieved to distances of 16km, opening the possibility of instantaneous communications with satellites and thus possibly eventually replacing current communications systems:
Alternative Energies Update
The Swedes are developing an underwater kite power generation system to tap the power of currents in deep water:
Genetic Engineering Update
For decades creationists have insisted evolution is impossible because it is impossible to create life from non-life. They'd point to the fact that scientists had yet to create artificial life as evidence. I would respond by saying that we were a lot closer to creating artificial life than they realized. And sure enough, ahead of schedule (faster than even I'd expected), scientists have created self-replicating, synthetic life, designed on a computer and using off-the-shelf, non-living chemical components:
http://www.jcvi.org/cms/press/press-releases/full-text/article/first-self-replicating-synthetic-bacterial-cell-constructed-by-j-craig-venter-institute-researcher/
Tuesday, May 18, 2010
Alternative Energies Update
Using quantum entanglement to duplicate conversion of light into energy, photosynthesis-style:
Computing Update
"An experimental demonstration of a quantum calculation has shown that a single molecule can perform operations thousands of times faster than any conventional computer."
Robotics Update
Robots built with collision detection prevent humans from being injured by stabbing and slashing knives:
(See video for examples in action.)
Technology Update
This doesn't really have anything to do with nanotech or the singularity, but it is cool. Cell phone imaging devices can be made to act as nightvision enhancers:
Tuesday, May 4, 2010
Artificial Intelligence Update
Using cheap, low-powered cell phone chips to emulate brain-like activities:
Friday, April 30, 2010
Nanotechnology Update
Relatively inexpensive nano-scale fabricator can construct 3D structures half the size of previous methods:
"To show off the tool, the researchers at IBM's Zurich lab made a three-dimensional map of the Earth so small that 1,000 of them would fit onto a single grain of salt."
Thursday, April 29, 2010
Virtual Reality Update
New floor tiles use haptics, speakers and video projection to simulate a variety of surfaces that feel like the real thing--grass, snow, ice, pebbles, etc.--when walked upon:
Tuesday, April 27, 2010
Artificial Intelligence Update
Using nanoscale memristors to develop synapses to emulate how the human brain processes information:
Artificial Intelligence Update
Circuits that work like the brain to evolve, work together and even self-heal have been developed:
Technology Update
Predicted in David Brin's "The Transparent Society," 24/7 video recording of one's life has become a reality:
Computing Update
Microchip manufacturers are working with different materials to carry Moore's Law beyond silicon:
Transportation Update
DARPA has been commissioned to come up with a VTOL flying car that can also drive off-road by 2015:
Technology Update
A new 3D printer could make rock-solid housing structures (even on the moon) far faster and less expensively than conventional means:
Saturday, April 17, 2010
Alternative Energies Update
Researchers engineer a virus to help split water into hydrogen and oxygen, so the hydrogen can be used for fuel:
Cybernetics Update
A video update on the HULC exoskeleton for the military, which allows soldiers to carry heavy weights easily:
Friday, April 9, 2010
Technology Update
The sidestep in the goal of creating a true invisibility cloak is creating an illusion over an object to appear as something else:
Transportation Update
The first solar-powered plane that will fly both day and night completely on solar power has completed its maiden flight:
Thursday, April 8, 2010
Computing Update
Advances in memristor technology may now make them viable commercially:
“Our brains are made of memristors,” he said, referring to the function of biological synapses. “We have the right stuff now to build real brains.”
Nanotechnology Update
Gains in efficiency in nanopiezoelectronics may allow them to power nano-scale machines through scavenged power:
Computing Update
Software is now able to distinguish between two different things a person is thinking about with 90% accuracy:
Robotics Update
Vehicles are now being built with automatic collision avoidance systems. Within a few years, driving will be semi-automated, and not long after that completely automated:
Robotics Update
Human-appearing android robots are getting close to indistinguishable from humans...but they're not there yet:
Virtual Reality Update
Haptics--being able to feel physical sensations in virtual worlds--is slowly getting off the ground:
Friday, April 2, 2010
Artificial Intelligence Update
Teaching a computer how to draw the way a human artist draws may reveal the fundamental algorithms of creativity and allow A.I. to be creative:
Thursday, April 1, 2010
Artificial Intelligence Update
A new "grand unified theory of artificial intelligence" unites two different philosophies in an attempt to achieve AI:
Computing Update
Charles Babbage envisioned a mechanical computer in 1822. It was never fully realized, and electronic computers are much more powerful right now. However, at the nano-scale, it may make sense to create mechanical computers as a way of saving energy:
Cybernetics Update
New technique allows merging of carbon nanotubes with neural cells--the basis for a true bionic replacement system:
Alternative Energies Update
New high-efficiency hydraulic hybrid INGOCAR would weigh much less than conventional hybrids and get 170 mpg:
Monday, March 22, 2010
Technology Update
The development of an invisibility cloak takes another step forward with invisibility in three dimensions:
Alternative Energies Update
A small-scale concentrated solar power system that can be embedded in the walls of a building to provide not just electricity, but also air/water heating and lighting:
Alternative Energies Update
Transonic combustion boosts efficiency of gasoline internal combustion engines by 50%:
Alternative Energies Update
Nanocomposites could increase energy capacity of lithium batteries by five times:
Computing Update
Researchers take an important step forward in developing self-assembling computer chips:
Artificial Intelligence Update
Recently developed memristors closely match the function of neurons in the brain:
Robotics Update
The EU is developing a program to develop robots that can learn from observation to make it easy for non-programmers to teach robots skills:
Saturday, March 13, 2010
Computing Update
Stacking chips into the third dimension should help carry Moore's Law (and the Law of Accelerating Returns) past 2020:
Alternative Energies Update
Google now has a prototype of a lower-cost solar-thermal mirror which could bring energy production costs down cheaper than coal:
Wednesday, March 10, 2010
Transportation Update
The commercially available jetpack is finally here!
and
"The 200-horsepower, dual-propeller is designed to fly average-sized person for 48 km (30 miles) in 30 minutes on 18 liters (5 gallons) of gas. The newest model can also reach heights of 2,400 meters (about 1.5 miles). Price? $100,000."
I'll hold off until they're tried and true and a lot less expensive...but I want one!
Tuesday, March 9, 2010
Cybernetics Update
New exoskeleton allows soldiers to carry up to 200 lbs at 10 mph while feeling like he's only carrying an extra 5-10 lbs:
http://dsc.discovery.com/news/2009/04/06/hulc-exoskeleton.html
http://dsc.discovery.com/news/2009/04/06/hulc-exoskeleton.html
Alternative Energies Update
A prototype catalyst uses solar power to convert three bottles of water into enough energy to power a home for a day:
http://www.physorg.com/news187031401.html
http://www.physorg.com/news187031401.html
Alternative Energies Update
Flexible, efficient silicon solar cells made with only 1% the amount of material as traditional solar cells:
http://ecogeek.org/solar-power/3074
http://ecogeek.org/solar-power/3074
Alternative Energies Update
A new nanoscale material can act as both body and battery for electric vehicles, cutting almost 1,000 lbs off the weight of a typical EV:
http://ecogeek.org/automobiles/3072
http://ecogeek.org/automobiles/3072
Artificial Intelligence Update
A new computer program is writing music that rivals that by the great composers:
http://www.miller-mccune.com/culture-society/triumph-of-the-cyborg-composer-8507/
http://www.miller-mccune.com/culture-society/triumph-of-the-cyborg-composer-8507/
Robotics Update
A number of new robot chefs have come on the scene, capable of cooking on different stoves and preparing thousands of recipes:
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/02/24/dining/24robots.html?ref=technology&pagewanted=all
"The Famen restaurant opened, with two giant yellow robot arms preparing up to 800 bowls of ramen a day. When it’s slow, the robots act out a scripted comedy routine and spar with knives."
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/02/24/dining/24robots.html?ref=technology&pagewanted=all
"The Famen restaurant opened, with two giant yellow robot arms preparing up to 800 bowls of ramen a day. When it’s slow, the robots act out a scripted comedy routine and spar with knives."
Alternative Energies Update
The "Bloom Box" is a new fuel cell that can efficiently convert almost any readily available fuel source into electricity. It's already being tested by a number of large companies, may end up replacing the power grid with individual home fuel cells:
http://www.physorg.com/news186123245.html
http://www.physorg.com/news186123245.html
Alternative Energies Update
A new Stanford firm is developing nanoparticle coatings to increase the amount of light absorbed by solar cells:
http://www.technologyreview.com/energy/24623/?a=f
http://www.technologyreview.com/energy/24623/?a=f
Computing Update
US broadband speeds and market saturation lags behind many other countries. The FCC is proposing a plan to bring 100 megabits-per-second Internet access to home users by 2020:
http://www.networkworld.com/news/2010/021610-fccs-100-megabits-to-the.html?page=1
Although Google is looking at an even higher goal of 1 gigabit-per-second.
http://www.networkworld.com/news/2010/021610-fccs-100-megabits-to-the.html?page=1
Although Google is looking at an even higher goal of 1 gigabit-per-second.
Medicine Update
Researchers have discovered how to increase telomere lengths, which could lead to rewinding the clock for aging cells:
http://www.technologyreview.com/biomedicine/24604/
http://www.technologyreview.com/biomedicine/24604/
Alternative Energies Update
IBM has developed a method for creating solar cells out of inexpensive materials using an inexpensive manufacturing process:
http://www.physorg.com/news185093054.html
http://www.physorg.com/news185093054.html
Computing Update
Energy savings and performance are not keeping up with the Law of Accelerating Returns. This could be a big problem for developing the ever-more-powerful computers needed for developing AI. However, low-voltage computing, while still having reliability issues, could reduce energy consumption by 10 to 100 times:
http://www.physorg.com/news185621560.html
http://www.physorg.com/news185621560.html
Wednesday, February 17, 2010
Robotics Update
The Cylon robots of SyFy TV series "Caprica" are actually not that far away:
http://singularityhub.com/2010/02/11/technology-from-caprica-series-on-scyfy-is-already-here/
http://singularityhub.com/2010/02/11/technology-from-caprica-series-on-scyfy-is-already-here/
Artificial Intelligence Update
Ten-year "Bluebrain Project" launches to develop a working brain model by 2020:
http://singularityhub.com/2010/02/12/10-year-documentary-to-follow-bluebrain-project-video/
http://singularityhub.com/2010/02/12/10-year-documentary-to-follow-bluebrain-project-video/
Nanotechnology Update
House representative introduces the Nanotechnology Education Act to ensure secondary and higher education are better able to prepare students for fields related to nanotechnology:
http://www.nanomagazine.co.uk/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=401:us-congress-introduce-nanotechnology-education-act&catid=38:nano-news&Itemid=85
http://www.nanomagazine.co.uk/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=401:us-congress-introduce-nanotechnology-education-act&catid=38:nano-news&Itemid=85
Alternative Energies Update
Within a few months, DARPA's research will succeed in making jet fuel from algae for the same cost as fossil fuels, and (almost) carbon neutral:
http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2010/feb/13/algae-solve-pentagon-fuel-problem
http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2010/feb/13/algae-solve-pentagon-fuel-problem
Alternative Energies Update
New materials harvests energy from everyday motions to power small devices:
http://ecogeek.org/power-storage/3057
http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20527475.500-pliable-power-pack-will-let-gadgets-feed-on-your-body.html
http://www.nanomagazine.co.uk/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=404:new-fibre-nanogenerators-could-lead-to-electric-clothes&catid=38:nano-news&Itemid=85
http://ecogeek.org/power-storage/3057
http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20527475.500-pliable-power-pack-will-let-gadgets-feed-on-your-body.html
http://www.nanomagazine.co.uk/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=404:new-fibre-nanogenerators-could-lead-to-electric-clothes&catid=38:nano-news&Itemid=85
Wednesday, February 10, 2010
Artificial Intelligence Update
Various experts weigh in on the prospectives of when to expect the arrival of artificial general intelligence (AGI):
http://hplusmagazine.com/articles/ai/how-long-till-human-level-ai#comment-7212
Most believe it'll occur in the 2020s...or 100+ years from now (or never). I suspect those in the latter category are not taking the Law of Accelerating Returns into account.
http://hplusmagazine.com/articles/ai/how-long-till-human-level-ai#comment-7212
Most believe it'll occur in the 2020s...or 100+ years from now (or never). I suspect those in the latter category are not taking the Law of Accelerating Returns into account.
Computing Update
Google hopes to have real-time voice recognition and synthetic translation into other languages within a couple years:
http://technology.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/tech_and_web/personal_tech/article7017831.ece
http://technology.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/tech_and_web/personal_tech/article7017831.ece
Computing Update
Successful manipulation of individual photons signifies major milestone passed in the development of quantum computers:
http://www.physorg.com/news184599445.html
http://www.physorg.com/news184599445.html
Thursday, February 4, 2010
Technology Update
This isn't exactly related to nanotech or the singularity, but it's highly cool nevertheless:
Physicists have discovered how to teleport energy using quantum entanglement:
http://www.technologyreview.com/blog/arxiv/24759/
The potential for this is the development of instantaneous communications over vast (even interstellar) distances, bypassing the limitation of the speed of light.
Physicists have discovered how to teleport energy using quantum entanglement:
http://www.technologyreview.com/blog/arxiv/24759/
The potential for this is the development of instantaneous communications over vast (even interstellar) distances, bypassing the limitation of the speed of light.
Technology Update
This isn't really specific to nanotech or the singularity, but it's highly cool nevertheless:
Robotics Update
Next robot car race up Pikes Peak will go from the previously sedate 25 mph speeds up to speeds faster than humans would risk, using differential GPS to maintain positional accuracy within 2 cm:
http://www.physorg.com/news184438040.html
http://www.physorg.com/news184438040.html
Robotics Update
6-legged robot uses a digital circuit that mimics insect brain cells to control movement:
http://www.livescience.com/technology/new-6-legged-robot-walks-by-taming-chaos-100129.html
http://www.livescience.com/technology/new-6-legged-robot-walks-by-taming-chaos-100129.html
Monday, February 1, 2010
Computing Update
The US Air Force will be hooking together thousands of PS3 gaming computers to create a highly efficient supercomputer to study how human brains process information:
http://videogames.yahoo.com/events/plugged-in/u-s-air-force-building-supercomputer-from-ps3s/1387199
http://videogames.yahoo.com/events/plugged-in/u-s-air-force-building-supercomputer-from-ps3s/1387199
Robotics Update
Robots use predator-prey evolutionary principles to improve their skills:
http://www.popsci.com/science/article/2010-01/robots-display-predator-prey-co-evolution-evolve-better-homing-techniques
http://www.popsci.com/science/article/2010-01/robots-display-predator-prey-co-evolution-evolve-better-homing-techniques
Alternative Energies Update
Recent advances in both laser and magnetic research bring nuclear fusion energy generation closer to reality:
http://www.universetoday.com/2010/01/28/nuclear-fusion-power-closer-to-reality-say-two-separate-teams/
In the next year or two, fusion ignition should finally be reached, after 50 years of research:
http://www.physorg.com/news183983627.html
But practical fusion power is still a ways off....
http://www.universetoday.com/2010/01/28/nuclear-fusion-power-closer-to-reality-say-two-separate-teams/
In the next year or two, fusion ignition should finally be reached, after 50 years of research:
http://www.physorg.com/news183983627.html
But practical fusion power is still a ways off....
Tuesday, January 26, 2010
Computing Update
New microscopic laser called a "spaser" (developed from the field of nanoplasmonics) could allow computing using light:
http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20527441.600-spasers-set-to-sum-a-new-dawn-for-optical-computing.html?full=true
http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20527441.600-spasers-set-to-sum-a-new-dawn-for-optical-computing.html?full=true
Transportation Update
NASA has developed an electric powered personal stealth aircraft called the "Puffin." It's a dual prop plane, barely bigger than the pilot, VTOL-capable, and capable of reaching speeds up to 480 kmh:
http://www.universetoday.com/2010/01/21/nasa-unveils-personal-aircraft/
Be sure to view the video.
http://www.universetoday.com/2010/01/21/nasa-unveils-personal-aircraft/
Be sure to view the video.
Alternative Energies Update
Oerlikon Solar expects to reduce costs of solar power to grid parity by the end of this year:
http://www.renewableenergyworld.com/rea/news/article/2010/01/oerlikon-solar-promising-30-cost-reduction-in-2010
http://www.renewableenergyworld.com/rea/news/article/2010/01/oerlikon-solar-promising-30-cost-reduction-in-2010
Robotics Update
Video of various techniques robots are using to climb walls:
http://www.physorg.com/news183100876.html
http://www.physorg.com/news183100876.html
Tuesday, January 19, 2010
Computing Update
As we approach the 2D limits of Moore's Law, a new technique allows the continuation of smaller circuits by building in three dimensions:
http://www.physorg.com/news183024614.html
http://www.physorg.com/news183024614.html
Robotics Update
South Korean researchers have developed a robot that can perform several household tasks, like cleaning, loading clothes in a washer and microwaving food:
http://www.physorg.com/news183022967.html
It's still a few years from mass production...but we're not too far off.
http://www.physorg.com/news183022967.html
It's still a few years from mass production...but we're not too far off.
Monday, January 18, 2010
Computing Update
Carbon nanotube transistors now feasible at sizes smaller than silicon:
http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20527435.900-nanotube-transistors-shrink-smaller-than-silicon-size.html
http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20527435.900-nanotube-transistors-shrink-smaller-than-silicon-size.html
Robotics Update
Robots can now use a simplified central pattern generator to vary its gait on different surfaces based on energy efficiency:
http://www.physorg.com/news182957235.html
http://www.physorg.com/news182957235.html
Saturday, January 16, 2010
Computing Update
DARPA plans to create a cyber warfare simulator to train cyber warriors against hackers:
http://www.popsci.com/technology/article/2010-01/darpa-spends-51-million-matrix-cyber-war-firing-range
http://www.popsci.com/technology/article/2010-01/darpa-spends-51-million-matrix-cyber-war-firing-range
Thursday, January 7, 2010
Transportation Update
DARPA is developing a flying car for troop transport, as well as a submersible aircraft:
http://www.networkworld.com/community/node/49469
http://www.networkworld.com/community/node/49469
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Scientists Identify a Potential New Alzheimer’s Disease Marker
https://scitechdaily.com/scientists-identify-a-potential-new-alzheimers-disease-marker/
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Microchip manufacturers are working with different materials to carry Moore's Law beyond silicon: http://www.technologyreview.com/comput...
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"A computer chip that performs calculations using probabilities, instead of binary logic, could accelerate everything from online bank...