Technology is advancing at an exponential rate often called the "Law of Accelerating Returns." If futurist predictions prove correct, we'll have advanced molecular manufacturing by around 2025, and possibly the replacement of humanity by vastly advanced machines a decade or two later.
This is a chronicle of our journey to that future, one advancing technology article at a time. I post the more significant and interesting articles as I come across them.
Wednesday, August 21, 2013
Tuesday, August 20, 2013
Friday, August 16, 2013
Wednesday, August 7, 2013
Tuesday, August 6, 2013
Monday, August 5, 2013
Graphene-Based Supercapacitors Rival Conventional Batteries
The quick-charging and infinite life of supercapacitors, now with the life of conventional batteries:
http://monash.edu.au/news/show/soft-approach-leads-to-revolutionary-energy-storage
http://monash.edu.au/news/show/soft-approach-leads-to-revolutionary-energy-storage
Thursday, August 1, 2013
World-changing technology enables crops to take nitrogen from the air
http://www.nottingham.ac.uk/news/pressreleases/2013/july/world-changing-technology-enables-crops-to-take-nitrogen-from-the-air-.aspx
The previous advance allowed the world to feed a billion more people. This could be even more of a game-changer.
The previous advance allowed the world to feed a billion more people. This could be even more of a game-changer.
Wednesday, July 31, 2013
3D Printers Can Already Pay For Themselves
3D printers are poised to replace much of what we purchase today:
Article:
http://www.mtu.edu/news/stories/2013/july/story93519.html
Video:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C8Wv3LCJcUE
Article:
http://www.mtu.edu/news/stories/2013/july/story93519.html
Video:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C8Wv3LCJcUE
Tuesday, July 30, 2013
Sunday, July 28, 2013
Wednesday, July 24, 2013
Tuesday, July 23, 2013
Tuesday, July 16, 2013
Friday, July 12, 2013
Thursday, July 11, 2013
Wednesday, July 10, 2013
60 Billion Habitable Planets in the Milky Way Alone?
http://www.universetoday.com/103379/60-billion-habitable-planets-in-the-milky-way-alone-astronomers-say-yes/
I posted a comment questioning the viability of tidally locked worlds, since I think evaporation and precipitation would eventually cause the light side to lose all its water, which would precipitate out into the dark side. I've received a couple of responses, but I think one is false and the other irrelevant.
I posted a comment questioning the viability of tidally locked worlds, since I think evaporation and precipitation would eventually cause the light side to lose all its water, which would precipitate out into the dark side. I've received a couple of responses, but I think one is false and the other irrelevant.
Friday, July 5, 2013
A Robot That Walks Like a Human
This robot uses gravity to "fall forward" and swing its legs the way humans do, saving energy and moving more naturally:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dYmhY-rUFXQ
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dYmhY-rUFXQ
Thursday, June 27, 2013
Wednesday, June 26, 2013
Faster Than Light Travel Possible?
http://news.yahoo.com/why-warp-drives-arent-just-science-fiction-150255793.html
So many "ifs" involved here, but it's nice to know there's at least a possibility.
So many "ifs" involved here, but it's nice to know there's at least a possibility.
Thursday, June 20, 2013
Wednesday, June 19, 2013
Nano Hummingbird in Action
It looks and flies just like a hummingbird...but with a camera. Add a little C4 and you have a perfect assassination weapon:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=96WePgcg37I
http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=96WePgcg37I
Monday, June 17, 2013
Friday, June 14, 2013
Graphene electronics with very low energy consumption
Graphene can be made magnetic and its magnetism switched on and off at the press of a button, opening a new avenue towards electronics with very low energy consumption:
http://www.manchester.ac.uk/aboutus/news/display/?id=10201
http://www.manchester.ac.uk/aboutus/news/display/?id=10201
Friday, June 7, 2013
Wednesday, June 5, 2013
The Omni Takes Virtual Reality to the Next Level
For many years now I've been saying virtual reality won't really arrive until we have an omnidirectional treadmill to allow natural movement in any direction. Now a new Kickstarter project aims to bring exactly that to the market, in an elegantly simple package:
Be sure to play the video.
Another benefit I predicted was that such a system would turn gamers from couch potatoes into fit athletes. I'd LOVE to get my workout in an immersive game....
Tuesday, June 4, 2013
Friday, May 31, 2013
Wednesday, May 29, 2013
Carbon Nanotube Thread Developed
As strong as carbon fiber but able to conduct electricity:
http://www.extremetech.com/extreme/145446-rice-creates-first-long-strong-flexible-and-conductive-carbon-nanotube-thread?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rice-creates-first-long-strong-flexible-and-conductive-carbon-nanotube-thread
Still...it's not nearly as strong as carbon nanotube thread should be because it's made of trillions of short bundles of nanotubes assembled like cotton thread, rather than made of massively long single fibers...I think.
http://www.extremetech.com/extreme/145446-rice-creates-first-long-strong-flexible-and-conductive-carbon-nanotube-thread?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rice-creates-first-long-strong-flexible-and-conductive-carbon-nanotube-thread
Still...it's not nearly as strong as carbon nanotube thread should be because it's made of trillions of short bundles of nanotubes assembled like cotton thread, rather than made of massively long single fibers...I think.
Thursday, May 23, 2013
Monday, May 20, 2013
Sunday, May 19, 2013
Friday, May 17, 2013
Building a Supercomputer Replica of the Human Brain
http://www.wired.com/wiredscience/2013/05/neurologist-markam-human-brain/all/
And here's the TED Conference talk by Henry Markram:
http://blog.ted.com/2009/10/15/supercomputing/
"In hype-driven contexts (such as his 2009 TED talk), Markram has hinted at the possibility that a sim embodied in a robot might become conscious. Hardwired with Markram’s model and given sufficient experience of the world, the machine could actually start thinking (Ã la Skynet and HAL 9000). While that has gained him a following among sci-fi enthusiasts, he separates such speculations from the hard work of doing real science. When pressed, he shows a rare touch of modesty. “A simulation is not the real thing,” he says. “I mean, it’s a set of mathematical equations that are being executed to re-create a particular phenomenon.” Markram’s job, simply put, is to get those equations right.
He plans to give the EU an early working prototype of this system within just 18 months—and vows to “open up this new telescope to the scientific community” within two and a half years—though he estimates that he’ll need a supercomputer 100,000 times faster than the one he’s got to build the premium version. Ever the optimist, he believes that Moore’s law (and the European Union) will deliver him that raw power in about a decade."
And here's the TED Conference talk by Henry Markram:
http://blog.ted.com/2009/10/15/supercomputing/
"In hype-driven contexts (such as his 2009 TED talk), Markram has hinted at the possibility that a sim embodied in a robot might become conscious. Hardwired with Markram’s model and given sufficient experience of the world, the machine could actually start thinking (Ã la Skynet and HAL 9000). While that has gained him a following among sci-fi enthusiasts, he separates such speculations from the hard work of doing real science. When pressed, he shows a rare touch of modesty. “A simulation is not the real thing,” he says. “I mean, it’s a set of mathematical equations that are being executed to re-create a particular phenomenon.” Markram’s job, simply put, is to get those equations right.
He plans to give the EU an early working prototype of this system within just 18 months—and vows to “open up this new telescope to the scientific community” within two and a half years—though he estimates that he’ll need a supercomputer 100,000 times faster than the one he’s got to build the premium version. Ever the optimist, he believes that Moore’s law (and the European Union) will deliver him that raw power in about a decade."
Robot Learns to Write
Siri has nothing to worry about, but it's still another step:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5hqNi2S4rlM
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5hqNi2S4rlM
Thursday, May 16, 2013
Wednesday, May 15, 2013
Rapid Developments in Artificial Intelligence
An interesting article in how the singularity is developing:
http://www.digitaltonto.com/2013/the-singularity-apocalypse-or-nerd-rapture/
http://www.digitaltonto.com/2013/the-singularity-apocalypse-or-nerd-rapture/
First Ship-Mounted Laser Weapon
http://www.nytimes.com/2013/05/14/science/how-a-laser-weapon-works.html?_r=0
Where are my sharks with frickin' laser beams attached to their heads???
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Bh7bYNAHXxw
Where are my sharks with frickin' laser beams attached to their heads???
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Bh7bYNAHXxw
Monday, May 13, 2013
Terrafugia's TF-X Autonomous Flying Car
Another flying car. This one flies itself--you just tell it where you want to go, and off it goes:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bp2TWNpTA7s
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bp2TWNpTA7s
PAL-V Flying Car
What do you get when you cross a Persu Hybrid V3 with a gyrocopter?
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SgHSaNtAMjs
Want. Now. Period.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SgHSaNtAMjs
Want. Now. Period.
Friday, May 10, 2013
Thursday, May 9, 2013
Wednesday, May 8, 2013
Monday, May 6, 2013
Friday, May 3, 2013
New Robotic Hand is Strong, Dexterous, Robust and Inexpensive
Down from typical prices of $50,000 per hand, this $3,000 robotic hand is surprisingly capable:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NvhCk6BvLBE
My favorite bit? The hand picking up tweezers to pick up a toothpick....
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NvhCk6BvLBE
My favorite bit? The hand picking up tweezers to pick up a toothpick....
Wednesday, May 1, 2013
Antimatter = antigravity?
If so, then it might be possible to create inexpensive transportation and floating cloud cities:
http://www.livescience.com/29164-antimatter-antigravity-fall-up.html?cmpid=525408
That makes me wonder if antimatter has something to do with dark energy....
http://www.livescience.com/29164-antimatter-antigravity-fall-up.html?cmpid=525408
That makes me wonder if antimatter has something to do with dark energy....
Monday, April 29, 2013
The Story of Quantum Computing
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ptuFckypqzE
The truly fascinating story of D-Wave's development of a quantum computer. The idea of accessing multiple universes to make calculations is a mind blower.
The truly fascinating story of D-Wave's development of a quantum computer. The idea of accessing multiple universes to make calculations is a mind blower.
Monday, April 22, 2013
Friday, April 19, 2013
You’ll Probably Never Upload Your Mind Into A Computer
http://io9.com/you-ll-probably-never-upload-your-mind-into-a-computer-474941498
Mostly these are arguments from ignorance, but interesting nevertheless.
Mostly these are arguments from ignorance, but interesting nevertheless.
Thursday, April 18, 2013
Moore's Law applied to life
http://news.yahoo.com/could-life-older-earth-itself-175255318.html
(Don't bother viewing the video--it's lame and not really related to the article.)
UPDATE: A scornful refutation of that claim:
http://scienceblogs.com/pharyngula/2013/04/18/graaarh-physicists-biologists/
(Don't bother viewing the video--it's lame and not really related to the article.)
UPDATE: A scornful refutation of that claim:
http://scienceblogs.com/pharyngula/2013/04/18/graaarh-physicists-biologists/
Saturday, April 13, 2013
Monday, April 8, 2013
Thursday, April 4, 2013
Astronomers anticipate 100 billion Earth-like planets
http://www.ras.org.uk/news-and-press/224-news-2013/2239-astronomers-anticipate-100-billion-earth-like-planets
With 100 billion Earth-like planets...surely SOME must have advanced life....
With 100 billion Earth-like planets...surely SOME must have advanced life....
Wednesday, April 3, 2013
Friday, March 22, 2013
Thursday, March 21, 2013
Wednesday, March 20, 2013
Tuesday, March 19, 2013
Monday, March 11, 2013
Rapyuta: The RoboEarth Cloud Engine
Moving robotic computation to the cloud to make robotic learning less expensive and more expansive:
http://www.roboearth.org/
Isn't this how the Battlestar Galactica reboot started? :-)
http://www.roboearth.org/
Isn't this how the Battlestar Galactica reboot started? :-)
Thursday, March 7, 2013
Crowdfunding Accelerates Clean Energy Investment
This is terrific to hear, as is the fact that per-watt solar prices have dropped to less than 100th what they were in 1977:
http://opinionator.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/03/06/crowd-funding-clean-energy/
http://opinionator.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/03/06/crowd-funding-clean-energy/
Wednesday, March 6, 2013
Deus Ex Bionic Augmentations vs. the Real World
Short documentary comparing the augmentations from the game Deus Ex with the current state of the art bionics:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TW78wbN-WuU&feature=player_embedded
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TW78wbN-WuU&feature=player_embedded
Tuesday, March 5, 2013
The Age of Enhancement
Superhuman abilities seeping into our world:
http://www.slate.com/articles/technology/superman/2013/03/superman_2_0_how_human_enhancement_technologies_are_giving_us_all_superpowers.html
http://www.slate.com/articles/technology/superman/2013/03/superman_2_0_how_human_enhancement_technologies_are_giving_us_all_superpowers.html
Friday, March 1, 2013
A 3D Printed Car That Runs for Free
We're on the verge of 3D printing becoming mainstream, and that's the conceptual foundation of nanofactories:
http://www.wired.com/autopia/2010/11/3d-printed-hybrid-uses-sunlight-ethanol-or-gas/
http://www.wired.com/autopia/2010/11/3d-printed-hybrid-uses-sunlight-ethanol-or-gas/
Brain Interface Allows Rats to Communicate by Thought Alone
I predicted this method of telepathy in the late 1980s. :-)
http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn23221-first-mindreading-implant-gives-rats-telepathic-power.html?full=true
http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn23221-first-mindreading-implant-gives-rats-telepathic-power.html?full=true
Big Dog Throws Cinder Blocks
C'mon, don't tell me you're not thinking Terminator-ish thoughts!
http://spectrum.ieee.org/automaton/robotics/military-robots/bigdog-throws-cinder-blocks-with-huge-robotic-facearm
http://spectrum.ieee.org/automaton/robotics/military-robots/bigdog-throws-cinder-blocks-with-huge-robotic-facearm
Thursday, February 28, 2013
Tuesday, February 26, 2013
Thursday, February 21, 2013
Monday, February 18, 2013
Thursday, February 14, 2013
Another Thin Film Solar Breakthrough
They keep coming...so when are we going to hit the tipping point and open the floodgates?
http://actu.epfl.ch/news/new-world-record-efficiency-for-thin-film-silicon-/
http://actu.epfl.ch/news/new-world-record-efficiency-for-thin-film-silicon-/
Monday, February 11, 2013
Robot That Moves by Internal Explosions
A robot that's powered by lighting its own farts. That's just wrong....
http://www.newscientist.com/blogs/nstv/2013/02/three-legged-robot-uses-exploding-body-to-jump.html?cmpid=NLC|NSNS|2012-1102-GLOBAL|threeleggedrobot&utm_medium=NLC&utm_source=NSNS&utm_content=threeleggedrobot
http://www.newscientist.com/blogs/nstv/2013/02/three-legged-robot-uses-exploding-body-to-jump.html?cmpid=NLC|NSNS|2012-1102-GLOBAL|threeleggedrobot&utm_medium=NLC&utm_source=NSNS&utm_content=threeleggedrobot
Thursday, February 7, 2013
Monday, February 4, 2013
British Mini-Drones
As the iPod Shuffle is to boom boxes, so is the Black Hornet Nano Unmanned Air Vehicle to the Reaper:
http://news.sky.com/story/1047004/mini-drones-army-deploys-tiny-helicopters
http://news.sky.com/story/1047004/mini-drones-army-deploys-tiny-helicopters
Raging (Again) Against the Machines
http://www.nytimes.com/2013/02/03/sunday-review/raging-again-against-the-robots.html?src=recg
It's interesting that Europe and Japan don't share the US's robot Armageddon stories. I personally like the stories because they're great adventure, not because I fear the consequence of robots.
It's interesting that Europe and Japan don't share the US's robot Armageddon stories. I personally like the stories because they're great adventure, not because I fear the consequence of robots.
Friday, February 1, 2013
Thursday, January 31, 2013
Wednesday, January 30, 2013
ARGUS 1.8 Gigapixel UAV Camera
This camera isn't so much about zooming in on a single spot to see all the pores on your hand, but zooming in at a still-impressive level over a 10 square mile area ALL AT ONCE and in real time:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=QGxNyaXfJsA
http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=QGxNyaXfJsA
Monday, January 28, 2013
Print Your Own Robot for $1000
Download the specs for this work-in-progress robot, print it out with a 3D printer, add some basic components, and you too can have a robot for $1000 or so:
http://edition.cnn.com/2013/01/25/tech/innovation/inmoov-robot-3d-printing/index.html
And here it is in motion:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=tojIdfywYVI
http://edition.cnn.com/2013/01/25/tech/innovation/inmoov-robot-3d-printing/index.html
And here it is in motion:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=tojIdfywYVI
Sunday, January 27, 2013
Saturday, January 26, 2013
Is Moore's Law Slowing Down?
Man vs. Machine
by Rana Foroohar
Remember the booming economy of the 1990s? A big factor in that growth was technology, which fueled productivity gains at a much faster clip than it does now. Moore's law--the observation credited to Intel co-founder Gordon Moore that computer chips double in power roughly every 18 months--appeared to be squarely in effect. From 1995 to 2005, large companies invested heavily in technology that increased efficiency and productivity, eventually creating entirely new areas of business and boosting employment growth. The fact that American companies invested more than, for example, European ones is a key reason many U.S. multinationals increased revenue and market share during that time. So given the rise of social media, big data and other tech trends, can we expect a similar boost to growth sometime in the near future?
No--at least according to "Is I.T. Over?," a new report by JPMorgan Chase's chief U.S. economist, Michael Feroli. Using U.S.-government data, Feroli shows that prices for IT equipment--things like software, computers and networking technology--are declining at the slowest pace in over a generation. That's important, because a slower price decline for technology implies slower gains in the power of technology. As Feroli writes, an average computer may retail for about $1,000, but historically "the power of that computer has increased dramatically" over time. As the power of new devices increases, prices of old ones fall. The fact that they aren't falling so quickly now means that technology isn't increasing at the same pace it once did.
This doesn't mean that Moore's law is dead. Strictly speaking, it refers to the number of transistors that can be squeezed onto a chip. Other factors, like microarchitecture and memory, can constrain computer advances even if the sheer number of circuits continues to increase. The bottom line, though, is that slower tech-price declines and slower gains in computing power suggest that the pace of innovation in the near future is likely to resemble that of the recent past. In other words, it will be sluggish for the next few years.
Indeed, a number of economists, including Northwestern University's Robert Gordon, believe that we are entering an even longer period of slow tech gains and slow growth. Gordon argues that the productivity gains of the decade beginning in 1995 were nothing compared with earlier, arguably more cataclysmic tech shifts like the advent of the combustion engine, electricity and indoor plumbing. "Which changes your life more," he asks, "an iPad or running water?" What's more, even if innovation were to continue into the future at its pre-2005 rate, Gordon says, the U.S. faces new headwinds--including debt levels, an aging population, environmental challenges, inequality and lower levels of education relative to international standards--that will hinder growth more than in the past.
There may be a silver lining to this story. Despite the boost it has given to overall growth, the white-hot pace of tech advancement over the past few decades is also a key driver of higher unemployment and inequality, as less-educated workers lost their jobs to machines. Research shows that technology powers job growth only if educational levels keep pace with technological change--a relationship that began to break down in the 1970s in the U.S. If IT advances are finally slowing, "then workforce skills may be better able to catch up with the level of technology," notes Feroli. In an era when many economists believe inequality is an obstacle to growth, that's a rare bit of good economic news.
Thursday, January 24, 2013
China's Robot Car First to Pass Freeway Test
http://www.china.org.cn/china/2013-01/23/content_27773068.htm
Come on, do we really want to let China surpass us in robotics?
Come on, do we really want to let China surpass us in robotics?
Tuesday, January 22, 2013
Cloning Neanderthal
An interview with George Church on the future of DNA manufacturing:
http://www.spiegel.de/international/zeitgeist/george-church-explains-how-dna-will-be-construction-material-of-the-future-a-877634.html
http://www.spiegel.de/international/zeitgeist/george-church-explains-how-dna-will-be-construction-material-of-the-future-a-877634.html
Monday, January 21, 2013
New World Record in Solar Cell Efficiency
The efficiency gap between silicon wafer and thin film solar cells has been closed:
http://www.empa.ch/plugin/template/empa/3/131438/---/l=2
http://www.empa.ch/plugin/template/empa/3/131438/---/l=2
Thursday, January 17, 2013
Leonar3Do 3D graphic design program
Very cool and easy way to design in 3D:
http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/this-could-be-big-abc-news/become-own-3d-producer-155546885.html
Should compliment 3D printers nicely.
http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/this-could-be-big-abc-news/become-own-3d-producer-155546885.html
Should compliment 3D printers nicely.
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This Battery On Wheels Makes Any Diesel Truck Electric In 5 Minutes
This is brilliant. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Idhfl-2FHJw
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Microchip manufacturers are working with different materials to carry Moore's Law beyond silicon: http://www.technologyreview.com/comput...
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"A computer chip that performs calculations using probabilities, instead of binary logic, could accelerate everything from online bank...