Technology is advancing at an exponential rate often called the "Law of Accelerating Returns." If futurist predictions prove correct, we'll have advanced molecular manufacturing by around 2025, and possibly the replacement of humanity by vastly advanced machines a decade or two later.
This is a chronicle of our journey to that future, one advancing technology article at a time. I post the more significant and interesting articles as I come across them.
Saturday, February 27, 2016
Thursday, February 25, 2016
Wednesday, February 24, 2016
Monday, February 22, 2016
6 Reasons Al Gore Believes ‘We Will Prevail’ in Climate Fight
https://ecowatch.com/2016/02/18/al-gore-prevail-climate-fight/
There are a lot of idiot climate change denier comments below, unfortunately.
There are a lot of idiot climate change denier comments below, unfortunately.
New Alzheimer’s treatment fully restores memory function
It's only in mice so far, but it sounds extremely promising:
http://www.sciencealert.com/new-alzheimer-s-treatment-fully-restores-memory-function
http://www.sciencealert.com/new-alzheimer-s-treatment-fully-restores-memory-function
Thursday, February 18, 2016
Wednesday, February 17, 2016
Tuesday, February 16, 2016
Thursday, February 11, 2016
Wednesday, February 10, 2016
Tuesday, February 9, 2016
Monday, February 8, 2016
Electric Vehicles Will Beat Gas Cars Because They Are Better, Not Because They Are Cheaper
Electric Vehicles Will Beat Gas Cars Because They Are Better, Not Because They Are Cheaper
If your phone company offered you a shiny new rotary-dial telephone, hard-wired to the wall, but with a lower monthly bill, would you trade in your iPhone or Android? Probably not.
People did not move to smart phones because they were cheaper. Consumers migrate to a new technology because it offers them benefits they appreciate, at a price they can afford and consider reasonable—not necessarily because it is cheaper.
Five dollar gasoline certainly gets folks’ attention and does help to sell electric vehicles, but it is not an essential ingredient. As I write this, the average national price of gasoline is $1.78, according to AAA, and many economists predict that it will be low for some time to come.
Oil is a classic boom/bust commodity, because it is hard to scale back production and there is relatively little storage capacity, compared to the huge volumes we produce and consume every day. When the price rises, the oil industry starts drilling and discovers all kinds of ways to unlock new sources or squeeze more oil from existing wells.
Eventually, supply outstrips demand and the world is so awash in oil that there is no place to put it. Prices crash. Higher cost producers shut down and a few years later the cycle repeats.
Because of electric vehicles and the increasing efficiency of gasoline cars, demand for oil may soon peak and start coming down. This could keep the price of oil low for many years to come. Fortunately, the case for EVs is a compelling one, even in a world of cheap oil.
EVs are a pleasure to drive. They are convenient (i.e. good-bye fill-ups and most maintenance). They clean up local air and prevent climate change. They build our national security by reducing dependence on foreign oil. They strengthen the local economy because you can gather your fuel on your roof, with the help of the neighborhood solar installer. And they open the door to all kinds of innovative technologies under development.
Don’t get me wrong, EVs need to be well-priced so that people can afford them and feel like they are getting value for their money. But with so many advantages, EVs will succeed, even with $1.78 gasoline.
Joel Levin
Executive Director
Plug In America
If your phone company offered you a shiny new rotary-dial telephone, hard-wired to the wall, but with a lower monthly bill, would you trade in your iPhone or Android? Probably not.
People did not move to smart phones because they were cheaper. Consumers migrate to a new technology because it offers them benefits they appreciate, at a price they can afford and consider reasonable—not necessarily because it is cheaper.
Five dollar gasoline certainly gets folks’ attention and does help to sell electric vehicles, but it is not an essential ingredient. As I write this, the average national price of gasoline is $1.78, according to AAA, and many economists predict that it will be low for some time to come.
Oil is a classic boom/bust commodity, because it is hard to scale back production and there is relatively little storage capacity, compared to the huge volumes we produce and consume every day. When the price rises, the oil industry starts drilling and discovers all kinds of ways to unlock new sources or squeeze more oil from existing wells.
Eventually, supply outstrips demand and the world is so awash in oil that there is no place to put it. Prices crash. Higher cost producers shut down and a few years later the cycle repeats.
Because of electric vehicles and the increasing efficiency of gasoline cars, demand for oil may soon peak and start coming down. This could keep the price of oil low for many years to come. Fortunately, the case for EVs is a compelling one, even in a world of cheap oil.
EVs are a pleasure to drive. They are convenient (i.e. good-bye fill-ups and most maintenance). They clean up local air and prevent climate change. They build our national security by reducing dependence on foreign oil. They strengthen the local economy because you can gather your fuel on your roof, with the help of the neighborhood solar installer. And they open the door to all kinds of innovative technologies under development.
Don’t get me wrong, EVs need to be well-priced so that people can afford them and feel like they are getting value for their money. But with so many advantages, EVs will succeed, even with $1.78 gasoline.
Joel Levin
Executive Director
Plug In America
The Reddest State Goes Green (Just Don't Mention Climate Change)
How to simply do an end run around climate change denialists:
http://www.takepart.com/feature/2015/11/30/texas-climate-change-denial
http://www.takepart.com/feature/2015/11/30/texas-climate-change-denial
How Solar Energy Is Turning Into a Losing Proposition in Nevada
More on the fallout from Nevada's weakening of net metering:
http://www.takepart.com/article/2016/01/26/nevada-power
http://www.takepart.com/article/2016/01/26/nevada-power
Chinese market electrifying for 'green' cars
At least everyone should benefit from this push:
http://news.yahoo.com/chinese-market-electrifying-green-cars-062654094.html
http://news.yahoo.com/chinese-market-electrifying-green-cars-062654094.html
France’s Road of the Future Is Paved With Solar Panels
France is literally paving roads with solar cells you can drive over:
http://news.yahoo.com/france-road-future-paved-solar-panels-142522225.html
http://news.yahoo.com/france-road-future-paved-solar-panels-142522225.html
China Close To Creating ‘Artificial Sun’ That Could End Reliance On Fossil Fuels
Ugh, did it have to be China? My least favorite country!
http://news.yahoo.com/china-close-to-creating-artificial-sun-that-104504777.html?soc_src=mail&soc_trk=ma
http://news.yahoo.com/china-close-to-creating-artificial-sun-that-104504777.html?soc_src=mail&soc_trk=ma
Thursday, February 4, 2016
Monday, February 1, 2016
U.K. Approves First Studies of New Gene Editing on Human Embryos
http://time.com/4200695/crispr-new-gene-editing-on-human-embryos-approved/?xid=newsletter-brief
I'm not sure I share the concern about a loss of genetic diversity. When people get to choose things for themselves, they usually go for diversity to express themselves--just look at the food, fashion or vehicle industries.
I'm not sure I share the concern about a loss of genetic diversity. When people get to choose things for themselves, they usually go for diversity to express themselves--just look at the food, fashion or vehicle industries.
Nevada Solar-Law Author Concerned as Solar Companies Flee
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-01-11/author-of-nevada-solar-law-concerned-as-solar-companies-flee?cmpid=yhoo.headline
Not good news...but "literally" a gun to the head? I somehow doubt that.
Not good news...but "literally" a gun to the head? I somehow doubt that.
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Quantum Teleportation Becomes Reality on Active Internet Cables
https://scitechdaily.com/quantum-teleportation-becomes-reality-on-active-internet-cables/
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http://www.sltrib.com/home/3898355-155/albuquerque-weighs-getting-more-solar-power
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"An experimental demonstration of a quantum calculation has shown that a single molecule can perform operations thousands of times fast...