http://www.usc.edu/uscnews/newsroom/news_release.php?id=2762
"A multinational team led by USC with researchers in the U.S., China, Pakistan, and Israel has developed a system of transmitting data using twisted beams of light at ultra-high speeds — up to 2.56 terabits per second. Broadband cable supports up to about 30 megabits per second. The twisted-light system transmits about 85,000 times more data per second."
Wow.
Technology is advancing at an exponential rate often called the "Law of Accelerating Returns." If futurist predictions prove correct, we'll have advanced molecular manufacturing by around 2025, and possibly the replacement of humanity by vastly advanced machines a decade or two later.
This is a chronicle of our journey to that future, one advancing technology article at a time. I post the more significant and interesting articles as I come across them.
Saturday, June 30, 2012
Lightning Electrolaser
An old weapon from science fiction posits a hand-held laser used to ionize the air, then firing an electric charge down the ionized path to the target: the "electrolaser." While prototypes have been around for a while, this one guides a lightning bolt to the target...and you don't even have to be all that accurate, since the bolt will automatically deviate to the target, assuming it has a lower resistance:
http://www.army.mil/article/82262/Picatinny_engineers_set_phasers_to__fry_/
http://www.army.mil/article/82262/Picatinny_engineers_set_phasers_to__fry_/
Ultra-Efficient Solar Panels
Under the right circumstances, solar cells from Semprius could produce power more cheaply than fossil fuels.
http://www.technologyreview.com/article/427673/ultra-efficient-solar/
And thin film solar panels get even thinner:
http://news.ncsu.edu/releases/wms-cao-thin/
This is in line with Kurzweil's predictions:
http://www.psfk.com/2011/02/kurzweil-predicts-100-solar-power-in-20-years.html
http://www.technologyreview.com/article/427673/ultra-efficient-solar/
And thin film solar panels get even thinner:
http://news.ncsu.edu/releases/wms-cao-thin/
This is in line with Kurzweil's predictions:
http://www.psfk.com/2011/02/kurzweil-predicts-100-solar-power-in-20-years.html
Tuesday, June 26, 2012
A Computer is Replacing Wikipedia
A computer program can now gather articles from the Web and create its own encyclopedia, no human input required:
http://www.technologyreview.com/news/428333/an-online-encyclopedia-that-writes-itself/
It makes mistakes, true...but how far can it be before it makes fewer mistakes than humans?
http://www.technologyreview.com/news/428333/an-online-encyclopedia-that-writes-itself/
It makes mistakes, true...but how far can it be before it makes fewer mistakes than humans?
Saturday, June 23, 2012
Approaching the speed of the human brain
From Mark Poole:
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We are approaching the capability of human brain in one machine. Kurzweil estimated that at 20 petaflops (he also guestimated that it would occur in supercomputers by 2010).
Sequoia's capabilities are measured at 16.3 petaflops
What is also holding true is the exponential decrease in the cost per computing cycle, see below:
What cost $8 trillion in 1961 costs a buck 80, 50 years later.
Fantastic!
============================
Hardware costs (from Wiki)
The following is a list of examples of computers that demonstrates how drastically performance has increased and price has decreased. The "cost per GFLOPS" is the cost for a set of hardware that would theoretically operate at one billion floating-point operations per second. During the era when no single computing platform was able to achieve one GFLOPS, this table lists the total cost for multiple instances of a fast computing platform which speed sums to one GFLOPS. Otherwise, the least expensive computing platform able to achieve one GFLOPS is listed.
Date | Approximate cost per GFLOPS | Approximate cost per GFLOPS inflation adjusted to 2011 dollars[41] | Technology | Comments |
---|---|---|---|---|
1961 | US $1,100,000,000,000 ($1.1 trillion) | US $8.3 trillion | About 17 million IBM 1620 units costing $64,000 each | The 1620's multiplication operation takes 17.7 ms.[42] |
1984 | $15,000,000 | $33,000,000 | Cray X-MP | |
1997 | $30,000 | $42,000 | Two 16-processor Beowulf clusters with Pentium Promicroprocessors[43] | |
April 2000 | $1,000 | $1,300 | Bunyip Beowulf cluster | Bunyip was the first sub-US$1/MFLOPS computing technology. It won the Gordon Bell Prize in 2000. |
May 2000 | $640 | $836 | KLAT2 | KLAT2 was the first computing technology which scaled to large applications while staying under US$1/MFLOPS.[44] |
August 2003 | $82 | $100 | KASY0 | KASY0 was the first sub-US$100/GFLOPS computing technology.[45] |
August 2007 | $48 | $52 | Microwulf | As of August 2007, this 26.25 GFLOPS "personal" Beowulf cluster can be built for $1256.[46] |
March 2011 | $1.80 | $1.80 | HPU4Science | This $30,000 cluster was built using only commercially available "gamer" grade hardware.[47] |
Tuesday, June 12, 2012
Sunday, June 3, 2012
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Quantum Teleportation Becomes Reality on Active Internet Cables
https://scitechdaily.com/quantum-teleportation-becomes-reality-on-active-internet-cables/
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http://www.sltrib.com/home/3898355-155/albuquerque-weighs-getting-more-solar-power
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"An experimental demonstration of a quantum calculation has shown that a single molecule can perform operations thousands of times fast...