Technology is advancing at an exponential rate often called the "Law of Accelerating Returns." If futurist predictions prove correct, we'll have advanced molecular manufacturing by around 2025, and possibly the replacement of humanity by vastly advanced machines a decade or two later.
This is a chronicle of our journey to that future, one advancing technology article at a time. I post the more significant and interesting articles as I come across them.
Saturday, February 26, 2011
Thursday, February 24, 2011
Artificial Intelligence Update
As we all know now, the IBM computer Watson beat the world's best human Jeopardy players handily, winning three times as much money as they did. Its success is due to an amazing amalgam of different tools all working cohesively (not unlike the human brain):
Add a few "humanizing" algorithms into the mix, add voice recognition, face recognition and emotion recognition (all of which already exist), and you'll have a computer not much different than the artificially intelligent computers found in a lot of science fiction. Wait a few years for the hardware to shrink to desktop size and for robotics technology to improve a bit more, and the robots of science fiction will be a reality.
Tuesday, February 22, 2011
Computing Update
Molybdenite uses 100,000 less times energy on standby than silicon, and offering greater control than graphene for use in computers:
Robotics Update
A robot has enough speed and agility that it can easily balance a pencil on its tip:
(See video)
Monday, February 14, 2011
Singularity Update
The concept of the Singularity has gone mainstream with this article in Time:
And I think it's a pretty balanced article, although I would have liked to see more of the products and services nanotech will likely bring about.
Artificial Intelligence Update
The world's best Jeopardy players will compete today...with a machine:
I watched the NOVA documentary on this project, and it's truly fascinating how they built the rules and database for Watson. It's true it's not A.I., but it will surely be part of the components that will lead to true general A.I.
Icon after icon of what we perceive as the true measure of intelligence is being knocked down, and intelligence keeps getting redefined as something other than what we thought it was. Sooner or later such redefinitions will cease to be useful, and we won't be able to tell the difference between human and machine intelligence. I'm pretty certain the Turing Test will be passed within five years, ten at the very most.
Tuesday, February 1, 2011
Robotics Update
Robots learn to move quickly and efficiently by actually learning, rather than being programmed:
Computing Update
Researchers entangle billions of subatomic particles in silicon, a major step in the development of super-powerful quantum computers:
Alternative Energies Update
Study claims we will be able to achieve 100% renewable energy usage by 2030...with enough political will:
Nanotechnology Update
Four prominent nanotech researchers share their thoughts about the near future of nanotech:
Computing Update
Scientists manage to squeeze 1,000 cores on a single chip:
"The researchers then used the chip to process an algorithm which is central to the MPEG movie format – used in YouTube videos – at a speed of five gigabytes per second: around 20 times faster than current top-end desktop computers."
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Quantum Teleportation Becomes Reality on Active Internet Cables
https://scitechdaily.com/quantum-teleportation-becomes-reality-on-active-internet-cables/
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http://www.sltrib.com/home/3898355-155/albuquerque-weighs-getting-more-solar-power
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"An experimental demonstration of a quantum calculation has shown that a single molecule can perform operations thousands of times fast...