Technology is advancing at an exponential rate often called the "Law of Accelerating Returns." If futurist predictions prove correct, we'll have advanced molecular manufacturing by around 2025, and possibly the replacement of humanity by vastly advanced machines a decade or two later.
This is a chronicle of our journey to that future, one advancing technology article at a time. I post the more significant and interesting articles as I come across them.
Monday, March 22, 2010
Technology Update
The development of an invisibility cloak takes another step forward with invisibility in three dimensions:
Alternative Energies Update
A small-scale concentrated solar power system that can be embedded in the walls of a building to provide not just electricity, but also air/water heating and lighting:
Alternative Energies Update
Transonic combustion boosts efficiency of gasoline internal combustion engines by 50%:
Alternative Energies Update
Nanocomposites could increase energy capacity of lithium batteries by five times:
Computing Update
Researchers take an important step forward in developing self-assembling computer chips:
Artificial Intelligence Update
Recently developed memristors closely match the function of neurons in the brain:
Robotics Update
The EU is developing a program to develop robots that can learn from observation to make it easy for non-programmers to teach robots skills:
Saturday, March 13, 2010
Computing Update
Stacking chips into the third dimension should help carry Moore's Law (and the Law of Accelerating Returns) past 2020:
Alternative Energies Update
Google now has a prototype of a lower-cost solar-thermal mirror which could bring energy production costs down cheaper than coal:
Wednesday, March 10, 2010
Transportation Update
The commercially available jetpack is finally here!
and
"The 200-horsepower, dual-propeller is designed to fly average-sized person for 48 km (30 miles) in 30 minutes on 18 liters (5 gallons) of gas. The newest model can also reach heights of 2,400 meters (about 1.5 miles). Price? $100,000."
I'll hold off until they're tried and true and a lot less expensive...but I want one!
Tuesday, March 9, 2010
Cybernetics Update
New exoskeleton allows soldiers to carry up to 200 lbs at 10 mph while feeling like he's only carrying an extra 5-10 lbs:
http://dsc.discovery.com/news/2009/04/06/hulc-exoskeleton.html
http://dsc.discovery.com/news/2009/04/06/hulc-exoskeleton.html
Alternative Energies Update
A prototype catalyst uses solar power to convert three bottles of water into enough energy to power a home for a day:
http://www.physorg.com/news187031401.html
http://www.physorg.com/news187031401.html
Alternative Energies Update
Flexible, efficient silicon solar cells made with only 1% the amount of material as traditional solar cells:
http://ecogeek.org/solar-power/3074
http://ecogeek.org/solar-power/3074
Alternative Energies Update
A new nanoscale material can act as both body and battery for electric vehicles, cutting almost 1,000 lbs off the weight of a typical EV:
http://ecogeek.org/automobiles/3072
http://ecogeek.org/automobiles/3072
Artificial Intelligence Update
A new computer program is writing music that rivals that by the great composers:
http://www.miller-mccune.com/culture-society/triumph-of-the-cyborg-composer-8507/
http://www.miller-mccune.com/culture-society/triumph-of-the-cyborg-composer-8507/
Robotics Update
A number of new robot chefs have come on the scene, capable of cooking on different stoves and preparing thousands of recipes:
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/02/24/dining/24robots.html?ref=technology&pagewanted=all
"The Famen restaurant opened, with two giant yellow robot arms preparing up to 800 bowls of ramen a day. When it’s slow, the robots act out a scripted comedy routine and spar with knives."
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/02/24/dining/24robots.html?ref=technology&pagewanted=all
"The Famen restaurant opened, with two giant yellow robot arms preparing up to 800 bowls of ramen a day. When it’s slow, the robots act out a scripted comedy routine and spar with knives."
Alternative Energies Update
The "Bloom Box" is a new fuel cell that can efficiently convert almost any readily available fuel source into electricity. It's already being tested by a number of large companies, may end up replacing the power grid with individual home fuel cells:
http://www.physorg.com/news186123245.html
http://www.physorg.com/news186123245.html
Alternative Energies Update
A new Stanford firm is developing nanoparticle coatings to increase the amount of light absorbed by solar cells:
http://www.technologyreview.com/energy/24623/?a=f
http://www.technologyreview.com/energy/24623/?a=f
Computing Update
US broadband speeds and market saturation lags behind many other countries. The FCC is proposing a plan to bring 100 megabits-per-second Internet access to home users by 2020:
http://www.networkworld.com/news/2010/021610-fccs-100-megabits-to-the.html?page=1
Although Google is looking at an even higher goal of 1 gigabit-per-second.
http://www.networkworld.com/news/2010/021610-fccs-100-megabits-to-the.html?page=1
Although Google is looking at an even higher goal of 1 gigabit-per-second.
Medicine Update
Researchers have discovered how to increase telomere lengths, which could lead to rewinding the clock for aging cells:
http://www.technologyreview.com/biomedicine/24604/
http://www.technologyreview.com/biomedicine/24604/
Alternative Energies Update
IBM has developed a method for creating solar cells out of inexpensive materials using an inexpensive manufacturing process:
http://www.physorg.com/news185093054.html
http://www.physorg.com/news185093054.html
Computing Update
Energy savings and performance are not keeping up with the Law of Accelerating Returns. This could be a big problem for developing the ever-more-powerful computers needed for developing AI. However, low-voltage computing, while still having reliability issues, could reduce energy consumption by 10 to 100 times:
http://www.physorg.com/news185621560.html
http://www.physorg.com/news185621560.html
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Quantum Teleportation Becomes Reality on Active Internet Cables
https://scitechdaily.com/quantum-teleportation-becomes-reality-on-active-internet-cables/
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http://www.sltrib.com/home/3898355-155/albuquerque-weighs-getting-more-solar-power
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"An experimental demonstration of a quantum calculation has shown that a single molecule can perform operations thousands of times fast...