A biotech startup claims it has a process to produce 20,000 gallons of biofuel per acre per year, at a price competitive with fossil fuels:
http://www.technologyreview.com/business/23073/
Technology is advancing at an exponential rate often called the "Law of Accelerating Returns." If futurist predictions prove correct, we'll have advanced molecular manufacturing by around 2025, and possibly the replacement of humanity by vastly advanced machines a decade or two later.
This is a chronicle of our journey to that future, one advancing technology article at a time. I post the more significant and interesting articles as I come across them.
Tuesday, July 28, 2009
Artificial Intelligence Update
A panel of AI scientists, roboticists, and ethical and legal scholars discusses worst-case scenarios for the upcoming emergence of artificially intelligent machines:
http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn17518-smart-machines-whats-the-worst-that-could-happen.html
Notably, some on the panel think human-level AI could take 1,000 years to develop, while others said 20. I've been reading a lot more of the latter than the former.
Another article, with additional perspectives:
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/07/26/science/26robot.html?_r=2
http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn17518-smart-machines-whats-the-worst-that-could-happen.html
Notably, some on the panel think human-level AI could take 1,000 years to develop, while others said 20. I've been reading a lot more of the latter than the former.
Another article, with additional perspectives:
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/07/26/science/26robot.html?_r=2
Alternative Energies Update
A new design for a less expensive solar thermal power generator:
http://www.technologyreview.com/energy/23079/
http://www.technologyreview.com/energy/23079/
Alternative Energies Update
A detailed description of the state of the Electrical Energy Storage Unit (EESU) capacitor, which may soon (or not) become a far more efficient replacement for batteries:
http://www.theoildrum.com/node/5557
http://www.theoildrum.com/node/5557
Sunday, July 26, 2009
Artificial Intelligence Update
As the social behavior of large groups of humans becomes more definable through progress in data gathering, new informatics tools and increases in computational power, we will be able to "predict with unprecedented foresight, specificity and scale such things as the economic and social effects of billions of new Internet users in China and India, or the exact location and number of airline flights to cancel around the world in order to halt the spread of a pandemic":
http://www.physorg.com/news167579576.html
http://www.physorg.com/news167579576.html
Artificial Intelligence Update
We may be only ten years away from having a reverse-engineered model of the human brain:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/technology/8164060.stm
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/technology/8164060.stm
Alternative Energies Update
PetroAlgae promises to cheaply provide both food and fuel from just sun and algae:
http://www.ecogeek.org/component/content/article/2855
http://www.ecogeek.org/component/content/article/2855
Robotics Update
Limiting robot finger joints with the same limitations of the human hand speeds up the computation required to mimic human hand movement:
http://www.technologyreview.com/computing/23023/
http://www.technologyreview.com/computing/23023/
Alternative Energies Update
Urine takes a quarter of the energy to electrolyze into hydrogen than does water:
http://www.ecogeek.org/component/content/article/2845
http://www.ecogeek.org/component/content/article/2845
Cybernetics Update
As we continue to develop the ability to control technology with the mind through direct neural implants, we run the risk of allowing someone to hack our brains:
http://www.wired.com/wiredscience/2009/07/neurosecurity/
http://www.wired.com/wiredscience/2009/07/neurosecurity/
Thursday, July 16, 2009
Cybernetics Update
DARPA's plan to create cybernetic insects to act as spies for the military:
http://www.livescience.com/technology/090714-cyborg-bugs.html
http://www.livescience.com/technology/090714-cyborg-bugs.html
Tuesday, July 14, 2009
Nanotechnology Update
Recently discovered attractive and repulsive forces in light could allow nanotech computer switches to be pulled or pushed:
http://www.physorg.com/news166711942.html
http://www.physorg.com/news166711942.html
Cybernetics Update
DARPA to create cyborg crickets to find and identify buried earthquake victims or react to the presence of dangerous chemicals by calling out:
http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20327165.900-cyborg-crickets-could-chirp-at-the-smell-of-survivors.html
http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20327165.900-cyborg-crickets-could-chirp-at-the-smell-of-survivors.html
Robotics Update
A robot practices before a mirror to learn to how to make correct expressions:
http://www.technologyreview.com/blog/editors/23825/
http://www.technologyreview.com/blog/editors/23825/
Friday, July 10, 2009
Medicine Update
A new drug, rapamycin, has been shown to increase lifespan in mammals 9-13%, even when administered toward the end of their lifespans, although it does suppress the immune system:
http://www.technologyreview.com/biomedicine/22974/
http://www.technologyreview.com/biomedicine/22974/
Artificial Intelligence Update
A computer program learns sign language based on signed gestures and subtitled text on a video image:
http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn17431-computer-learns-sign-language-by-watching-tv.html
http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn17431-computer-learns-sign-language-by-watching-tv.html
Artificial Intelligence Update
The fascinating history of the discovery and development of memristors, their discovery in biological intelligence, and how they may be applied to artificial intelligence:
http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20327151.600-memristor-minds-the-future-of-artificial-intelligence.html?full=true
http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20327151.600-memristor-minds-the-future-of-artificial-intelligence.html?full=true
Computing Update
Researchers create an optical transistor from a single molecule, passing another milestone in the quest for developing quantum computers:
http://www.gizmag.com/optical-transistor-made-from-single-molecule/12157/
http://www.gizmag.com/optical-transistor-made-from-single-molecule/12157/
Robotics Update
Robo-Bat: Researchers are developing a new MAV (micro-aerial vehicle) based closely on the flight capabilities of a bat:
http://www.physorg.com/news166163661.html
http://www.physorg.com/news166163661.html
Alternative Energies Update
New flexible nanopillar solar cells could cost one tenth the price of crystaline silicon solar panels:
http://www.technologyreview.com/computing/22958/
http://www.technologyreview.com/computing/22958/
Medicine Update
This new "Medicine Update" category will not be for reporting advances in regular medical technology (e.g., treatments for cancer or diabetes or whatnot), which I consider an interim step until we develop true nanotechnology to replace most current and near-future techniques. Instead, it will be to report medical advances that specifically deal with life extension technologies to extend our chances of making it to the time when nanotechnological solutions become available.
This first report is by Ray Kurzweil defending why aging may soon be solved:
http://www.technologyreview.com/blog/guest/23802/
"...information technology grows exponentially, in sharp contrast to the linear growth of hit or miss approaches that have characterized medicine up until recently. As such, these technologies will be a million times more powerful in 20 years (by doubling in power and price performance each year). The genome project, incidentally, followed exactly this trajectory."
This first report is by Ray Kurzweil defending why aging may soon be solved:
http://www.technologyreview.com/blog/guest/23802/
"...information technology grows exponentially, in sharp contrast to the linear growth of hit or miss approaches that have characterized medicine up until recently. As such, these technologies will be a million times more powerful in 20 years (by doubling in power and price performance each year). The genome project, incidentally, followed exactly this trajectory."
Thursday, July 9, 2009
Materials Update
Further progress on the development of a true invisibility cloak. Furthermore, the possibility exists to make an object appear completely different from what it actually is:
http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20327156.300-modified-invisibility-cloak-could-make-the-ultimate-illusion.html
http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20327156.300-modified-invisibility-cloak-could-make-the-ultimate-illusion.html
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Quantum Teleportation Becomes Reality on Active Internet Cables
https://scitechdaily.com/quantum-teleportation-becomes-reality-on-active-internet-cables/
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http://www.sltrib.com/home/3898355-155/albuquerque-weighs-getting-more-solar-power
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"An experimental demonstration of a quantum calculation has shown that a single molecule can perform operations thousands of times fast...